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INTELLIGENCE                                ISSN 1245-2122

N. 415, 20 January 2003

Every Two to Three Weeks

Next Issue on 3 February

Publishing since 1980

 

Editor

Olivier Schmidt

(email  adi@blythe.org;

web  http://www.blythe.org/Intelligence)

 

TABLE OF CONTENTS, N. 415, 20 January 2003

 

FRONT PAGE

 

IRAQ - BUSH NEEDS A WAR, OR ELSE ... p.1

 

TECHNOLOGY AND TECHNIQUES

 

A "TIMELINE" FOR "INTELLIGENCE" p.2

A GUIDE TO AL QAIDA p.3

VIRTUAL TRAINING - FBI Launches Virtual Academy. p.4

FRIENDLY FIRE REMAINS A DEADLY PROBLEM AFTER 12 YEARS p.5

POOR GERMAN ANTI-TERRORISM TECH FROM 1972 BRIT REPORT p.6

 

PEOPLE

 

USA - THEODORE SHACKLEY p.7

GREAT BRITAIN - DAVID SHAYLER p.8

NORTHERN IRELAND - GERRY ADAMS p.9

 

AGENDA

 

COMING EVENTS THROUGH 1 MARCH 2003 p.10

 

INTELLIGENCE AROUND THE WORLD

 

USA - FBI ON REGAN, TEXAS PLAGUE & TERRORIST HOAX p.11

    - CIA DOCUMENTATION & REPORTS p.12

    - POLITICS & INTELLIGENCE IN WASHINGTON p.13

GREAT BRITAIN - "RIPA" LIKELY TO BE REVISED DOWNWARDS p.14

              - MISSILE DEFENSE ON THE AGENDA p.15

NORTHERN IRELAND - CRISIS AS SPECIAL BRANCH BOSS QUITS p.16

                 - FEAR & MURDER AMONG LOYALISTS p.17

                 - THE "HOMELANDS" SOLUTION p.18

FRANCE - SPY BOSSES IN THE PRESS & NETWORKS ROLLED UP p.19

NETHERLANDS - NO PROTECTION FOR PIM FORTUYN p.20

RUSSIA/CHECHNYA/GREAT BRITAIN - "GETTING" ZAKAYEV p.21

RUSSIA - Adios to the Peace Corps. p.22

 

---------------------------------------------

 

Intelligence, N. 415, 20 January 2003, p. 1

 

 

IRAQ

 

BUSH NEEDS A WAR, OR ELSE ...

 

 

Last September, "Intelligence" mentioned how George Bush, Dick

Cheney and Donald Rumsfeld could start an armed conflict with

Iraq in the face of quasi-total opposition abroad (see "Iraq -

The War Bush Needs & The World Doesn't Want", INT, n. 407 1).

"First, a US-British air patrol over Iraq flies just a little

too low or a little too slowly and the aircraft gets hit by

Iraqi anti-aircraft batteries, preferably without loss of life

but with one or more aircraft, plus pilots, going down inside

Iraq." There is also a second scenario. Since US and Israeli

special force units have been in Iraq for several months

scouting out Scud mobile launchers and other aerial targets, it

would not be too difficult for one of these teams to "slip up"

and get caught by Iraqi forces, thus necessitating a "rescue

mission" ... of a few tens of thousands of regular troops.

 

As for a "raison d'etre" for such war, now that no "smoking

gun" has been found with an aggressive, US-intelligence-

supported UN investigation, there is only one possibility:

"face saving" for Bush, Cheney and Rumsfeld who swore to the

world that Iraq was hiding dangerous weapons. If there is no

"smoking gun" and no war -- to help forget the fact that there

was no "smoking gun" -- then the Bush administration will have

rendered itself ridiculous.

  ...(cut)...

---------------------------------------------

 

Intelligence, N. 415, 20 January 2003, p. 12

 

 

USA

 

CIA DOCUMENTATION & REPORTS

 

 

Over the past month, the CIA has released several reports and

extensive documentation on the CIA which have also been

declassified. On 13 December, the National Security Archive

announced the release of "US Propaganda Activities in the

Middle East - The Early Years", published on the World Wide

Web. The documents are concerned with an early Cold War

campaign to win "hearts and minds" in the Middle East, launched

50 years before current efforts to achieve United States

"public diplomacy" goals in the region.

 

As in the case of the FBI, the CIA has claimed recent successes

in the fight against terrorism (1215, AFP). On 11 December,

during a presentation at the Nixon Center in Washington, CIA

Director, George Tenet, stated that more than 3,000 members or

associates of al Qaida have been apprehended in over 100

countries. "Half of our successes have come in the last few

months. This global attack on al Qaida has without a doubt

disorganized its operations", according to Mr. Tenet.

  ...(cut)...

---------------------------------------------

 

Intelligence, N. 415, 20 January 2003, p. 13

 

 

USA

 

POLITICS & INTELLIGENCE IN WASHINGTON

 

 

The top intelligence topics in "politics" over the last month

include UPI's article on eventual Mossad murders in the US,

NASA's failure in addressing contradictors, possible MIT cover-

up of anti-missile system fraud, and Kissinger's abandoning the

chairmanship of the 11 September 2001 investigation, among

other stories.

  ...(cut)...

---------------------------------------------

 

Intelligence, N. 415, 20 January 2003, p. 14

 

 

GREAT BRITAIN

 

"RIPA" LIKELY TO BE REVISED DOWNWARDS

 

 

The British Assistant Chief Constable of the National Crime

Squad (NCS), Jim Gamble, told a parliamentary committee of

inquiry, currently examining communication surveillance powers

under the Regulation of Investigatory Powers Act (RIPA), that

the provisions under the legislation, which was passed in 2000,

would be unlikely to withstand a legal challenge under the

European Convention on Human Rights (ECHR). Mr. Gamble, who is

also head of the Association of Chief Police Officers (ACPO)

data communications group, told MPs, on 18 December, that the

law enforcement agencies were uncertain about what was

permitted, and that telecom and ISP companies were "exposed to

civil action."

  ...(cut)...

---------------------------------------------

 

Intelligence, N. 415, 20 January 2003, p. 17

 

 

NORTHERN IRELAND

 

FEAR & MURDER AMONG LOYALISTS

 

 

The internecine nature of the Loyalist feud in Belfast was

underlined on 27 December when a masked gunman forced his way

into a house in Manor Street and shot dead 22-year-old Jonathan

Stewart, the nephew of a well-known Loyalist in the north

Belfast area.

 

Security and Loyalist sources have linked the killing --

described by PSNI Detective Superintendent, Roy Suitters, as

"an execution" -- to the Lower Shankill "C Company" faction of

the Ulster Defence Association (UDA) led by Johnny Adair. Last

September, Adair, and his political adviser and former UDA

"lifer", John White, were expelled from the UDA by the five

"brigade commanders" on the organization's ruling Inner

Council. Adair, specifically, was accused of colluding with the

hardline, mid-Ulster based Loyalist Volunteer Force (LVF) in an

attempt to take over the leadership of the UDA and control its

"lucrative trade" in drug trafficking, racketeering and

extortion.

  ...(cut)...

---------------------------------------------

 

Intelligence, N. 415, 20 January 2003, p. 19

 

 

FRANCE

 

SPY BOSSES IN THE PRESS & NETWORKS ROLLED UP

 

 

Over the past month, French intelligence news has been

dominated by a continuing series of police raids against

Islamic networks and ETA separatists. We note these reports

below, but their sheer numbers have drawn attention away from

more monumental changes that have quietly taken place with the

assistance of the media. In less than a month, the heads of

France's two major intelligence services, DST internal security

and DGSE foreign intelligence, have been interviewed by the

press. Such interviews have been very rare occasions, and now

both have spoken out and explicitly called for more public

visibility for their services and duties. On 17 December,

"Liberation" published an interview of DST chief, Pierre de

Bousquet de Florian, by journalists, Jacques Amalric and

Patricia Tourancheau. The head of the DST spoke extensively

about his service's work against Islamic terrorist networks

active in France, the case of "Shoe Bomber" Richard Reid and

the international intelligence cooperation which is necessary

for this work.

 

This was followed by an interview with DGSE chief, Pierre

Brochand, in the January issue of "Arm‚es d'Aujourd'hui", the

monthly of the French Ministry of Defense. According to

Brochand, the DGSE has agreed to engage in a "communication

process" as the service "progressively opens to the public"

while maintaining secrecy where it is necessary to accomplish

its designated tasks. The service has had to adapt to working

in a world of localized crises with multi-form threats and far

from the world of paralyzed blocs during the Cold War. Brochand

clearly excludes the creation of a European Union foreign

intelligence service while nonetheless encouraging greater

European intelligence cooperation between national services.

  ...(cut)...

---------------------------------------------

 

 

AGENDA

 

 

Intelligence, N. 415, 20 January 2003, p. 10

 

 

COMING EVENTS THROUGH 1 MARCH 2003

 

 

In the interest of efficiency, "Intelligence" lists all coming

events only once according to date, and they are not repeated

in subsequent issues. Past Agendas are available free at our

web site <http://www.blythe.org/Intelligence> and additional

information concerning these events is available at 33 (0)1 40

51 85 19 (tel/fax) or adi@blythe.org (email). Paid

advertisements describing an event in greater detail are sent

directly to more than two thousand Internet subscribers and

members of our free distribution list.

 

Now is the deadline for contributions to the American Studies

Association Panel on Police in America,

smcgoldrick@hampshire.edu.

 

Now is also the deadline for contributions to the 2003

International Chemical Information Conference, which takes

place on 19-2 October, in Nimes, France,

http://www.infonortics.com.

 

7 February, deadline for papers on "Armed Forces and American

Science and Technology" for the next American Historical

Association annual meeting in Washington, hackerb@si.edu.

 

5-7 February, Washington, NASA New Millennium Program workshop

on advanced technologies in space, http://nmp.jpl.nasa.gov/st9.

 

5-7 February, San Diego, California, Internet Society, 10th

Annual Network and Distributed System Security Symposium,

http://www.isoc.org/ndss03/

 

10 February, Paris, IEJ, Police in France, by Andre Michel

Ventre, secretary general of the Syndicat des Commissaires et

Hauts Fonctionnaires de la Police Nationale, Grand Amphi,

Centre Assas, 92 rue d'Assas, 75006 Paris.

 

12-14 February, Washington, Privacy & American Business (P&AB),

Privacy Practitioners' Workshop and Ninth Annual National

Conference, http://www.pandab.org/postcard.pdf.

 

19-20 February, Haifa, Israel, Technion, 43rd Annual Israel

Aerospace Sciences Conference, http://www.technion.ac.il.

 

25-28 February, Boscombe Down, England, Royal Aeronautical

Society Guided Flight Conference, http://www.aerocsociety.com.

 

26 February, Paris, Commission for the History of Intelligence,

Naval Intelligence since 1870, by Alexandre Sheldon-Duplaix,

Ecole Militaire, Amphitheatre Sabatier, 21 place Joffre, 75007

Paris.

 

26-28 February, Washington, International Association of

Privacy Officers, Third Annual Privacy Summit,

http://www.privacyassociation.org/html/conferences.html.

 

27 February, Paris, MEDEF, Economic Intelligence Symposium,

http://www.acfci.cci.fr/Intelligence_economique/presentation/ac

tualites.htm.

 

27 February, Paris, Centre des Hautes Etudes de l'Armement

(CHEAr), Preparing for the Future in the Armed Forces, fax 33

(0)1 44 42 52 78

 

27 February, Ottawa, Canada, Defence Management Studies at

Queen's University, Kingston, 19th Annual Conference of the

Defence Associations Institute, information through the Chief

of the Defence Staff.

 

28 February, Oxford, England, Programme in Comparative Media

Law and Policy (PCMLP), Legal and Pedagogical Aspects of a

Safer Internet, http://saferinternet.org/news/Events-

feb2003.asp

 

28 February-4 April, Paris, Institute for Higher Studies in

National Defense (IHEDN), 15th Series on Economic and Strategic

Intelligence Awareness,

 

1 March, Stanford, California,  Stanford Law School Center for

Internet and Society, Spectrum Policy - Property or Commons?,

http://cyberlaw.stanford.edu/spectrum/.

 

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