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INTELLIGENCE                                ISSN 1245-2122

N. 417, 24 February 2003

Every Two to Three Weeks

Next Issue on 10 March

Publishing since 1980

 

Editor

Olivier Schmidt

(email  adi@blythe.org;

web  http://www.blythe.org/Intelligence)

A one year subscription (18 issues

with full index) is US $325.

 

TABLE OF CONTENTS, N. 417, 24 February 2003

 

FRONT PAGE

 

IRAQ - GATHERING STORM-RUSH TO WAR-FLASH IN THE PAN p.1

 

TEHNOLOGY AND TECHNIQUES

 

TIMELINE 3 TO 22 FEBRUARY p.2

FINDING MISSING ORDNANCE LOST AT SEA p.3

 

PEOPLE

 

USA/IRELAND - JAMES BULGER p.4

GREAT BRITAIN - DAVID PEPPER p.5

 

AGENDA

 

COMING EVENTS THROUGH 1 APRIL 2003 p.6

 

INTELLIGENCE AROUND THE WORLD

 

USA - CIA IN THE NEWS p.7

    - ANOTHER FALSE ALERT FROM THE FBI p.8

    - POLITICS, DOD, DOE & OTHER INTELLIGENCE NEWS p.9

CANADA - THE DESTRUCTION OF AIR INDIA FLIGHT 182 p.10

GREAT BRITAIN - IRAQ "PSY OPS" BACKFIRES ON BLAIR & BUSH p.11

              - TRUE CONFESSIONS FROM THE COLD WAR p.12

              - INTERCEPTS UP, CRIME DATA REPORTING DOWN p.13

              - PREPARING FOR "REGIME CHANGE" p.14

NORTHERN IRELAND - TRUTH AND THE NEW LODGE SIX p.15

                 - THE FLIGHT OF THE HARD-LINERS p.16

BELGIUM - "UNIVERSAL JURISDICTION" LAW CORNERS SHARON p.17

EASTERN EUROPE - US "Dirty Tricks" for Iraq. p.18

CAYMAN ISLANDS - MR. GIBBS GOES HOME p.19

ISRAEL - PUTSCH OR CIVIL WAR IF INTIFADA CONTINUES p.20

MIDDLE EAST - Bin Laden and Qaida in the news. p.21

 

---------------------------------------------

 

Intelligence, N. 417, 24 February 2003, p. 1

 

 

IRAQ

 

GATHERING STORM-RUSH TO WAR-FLASH IN THE PAN

 

 

One thing everybody seems to agree upon concerning Iraq is that

US Secretary of State, Colin Powell, with his much-touted

intelligence-based presentation at the UN against the regime of

Saddam Hussein, didn't win any new "hearts and minds". And that

was supposed to be the best US and British intelligence could

do, which, if true, is a very sad indication of their

irrelevance. In fact, it is quite the opposite: the CIA and MI6

can do much better than that. But, given the extremely

politicized and partisan atmosphere in the White House and 10

Downing Street, both intelligence services have been

desperately "insulating" themselves from the Republican "neo-

conservatives" surrounding President George W. Bush and "New

Labour" surrounding Prime Minister Tony Blair. This left

amateurish Bush and Blair faithfuls to run what has become the

world's largest media operation in the history of psychological

warfare or "psy ops". Little wonder that Powell was left "high

and dry" by the CIA, and MI6 let Blair justify a war with a

plagiarized student report (see 10 February "Independent"

excerpt below).

  ...(cut)...

---------------------------------------------

 

Intelligence, N. 417, 24 February 2003, p. 8

 

 

USA

 

ANOTHER FALSE ALERT FROM THE FBI

 

 

Neither the FBI nor the CIA seem to be learning very quickly,

or else the Bush administration is putting so much pressure on

them to maintain an atmosphere of fear of terrorist attacks

that they are issuing national and international alerts on the

basis of unverified single-source information. On 7 February,

the US terror alert was raised to "High Risk" "Orange", the US

State Department advised nonessential US diplomats and family

members to leave Israel, Jordan, Syria and Lebanon, and the

press claimed "law enforcement and private business braced for

a possible terrorist attack after the starkest warning since

the 11 September 2001". US Attorney General, John Ashcroft,

stated that the government had received intelligence

information, "corroborated by multiple sources", that Osama Bin

Laden's terror organization sought to attack Americans at home

or abroad. A few hours after the announcement, the FBI issued

an alert for help in finding a Pakistani, Mohammed Sher

Mohammed Khan, 36, although the FBI admitted it had no specific

information that Khan was connected to any potential terrorist

activities but wanted to locate and question him.

 

Six days later, on 13 February, ABC News claimed that the

information that led to the terror alert was fabricated by an

al Qaida member in custody whom claimed Washington, New York or

Florida would be hit by a "dirty bomb" sometime that week.

  ...(cut)...

---------------------------------------------

 

Intelligence, N. 417, 24 February 2003, p. 11

 

 

GREAT BRITAIN

 

IRAQ "PSY OPS" BACKFIRES ON BLAIR & BUSH

 

 

Leave it to the Brits: the best presentation of the "New

Labour" plagiarism to justify invading Iraq was prepared by

British author and intelligence specialist, Gordon Thomas, and

posted, on 10 February, on his web site. In his article,

"Downing Street's Plagiarism - Breached Relationship with the

Intelligence Services", Thomas claims "For four days, the

impending debacle had been there for all the world to see on

Number 10's official website. It was a smoking gun, (MI6

director) Dearlove instinctively knew, which would have serious

consequences for Blair ... The website document was trumpeted

as an up-to-the-minute assessment of Iraq, compiled from

intelligence provided by MI6 and MI5 and GCHQ -- Britain's "ear

in the sky" global listening agency. In truth, it had been

stolen from an essay written by a young Arab postgraduate

student in California. Some of his material was ten years out

of date. Parts were blatantly lifted, word by word, punctuation

error by punctuation error. Other passages were plagiarised

from the small specialist journal, "The Middle East Review of

International Affairs" ... "All they had to do was to check the

article against what we had provided", an MI5 analyst told me.

  ...(cut)...

---------------------------------------------

 

Intelligence, N. 417, 24 February 2003, p. 18

 

 

EASTERN EUROPE - US "Dirty Tricks" for Iraq.  On 20 February,

the leading French conservative daily, "Figaro" published

serious accusations against Bush administration "neo-

conservatives" claiming that they incited EU candidate

countries to back the invasion of Iraq. Behind the "Ten of

Vilnius" letter is a former US military officer and

intelligence specialist, Bruce K. Jackson, president of the

Committee for the Liberation of Iraq, which is directed by

Randy Scheunemann, who was Donald Rumsfeld's "consultant on

Iraq last year. Jackson is also a former vice-president of the

major defense firm, Lockheed Martin and presided Bush's foreign

policy subcommittee during the 2000 presidential election

campaign. He has also lobbied heavily in Congress for the

eastward extension of NATO.

 

---------------------------------------------

 

Intelligence, N. 417, 24 February 2003, p. 20

 

 

ISRAEL

 

PUTSCH OR CIVIL WAR IF INTIFADA CONTINUES

 

 

On 24 January, "The Age" reported that "Officer's stand splits

Israeli military intelligence". Aman is reported to be deeply

divided over the dismissal of a junior officer who refused in

December, on moral grounds, to target a Palestinian building.

According to reports in "Ma'ariv", an intelligence officer

identified only as "Lieutenant A" was disciplined and

transferred from his prestigious unit after he deliberately

withheld information that he believed could lead to the loss of

innocent Palestinian lives. The lieutenant's defenders say that

his action raises the question of the morality of some Israeli

Defence Force operations in the occupied territories and also

of a soldier's right under Israeli law to refuse an order that

be believes to be unlawful.

  ...(cut)...

---------------------------------------------

 

 

AGENDA

 

 

Intelligence, N. 417, 24 February 2003, p. 6

 

 

COMING EVENTS THROUGH 1 APRIL 2003

 

 

In the interest of efficiency, "Intelligence" lists all coming

events only once according to date, and they are not repeated

in subsequent issues. Past Agendas are available free at our

web site <http://www.blythe.org/Intelligence> and additional

information concerning these events is available at 33 (0)1 40

51 85 19 (tel/fax) or adi@blythe.org (email). Paid

advertisements describing an event in greater detail are sent

directly to more than two thousand Internet subscribers and

members of our free distribution list.

 

27 February-1 March, Berkely, California, Law and Technology of

DRM - What will DRM technologies mean for the future of

information?, http://www.law.berkeley.edu/institutes/bclt/drm/.

 

28 February-1 March, Lyon, France, International Conference on

Sharing Knowledge - Research in the fields of Information

Science & Communication Science, http://www.partage-des-

savoirs.org.

 

3-7 March, Washington, American Institute of Aeronautics &

Astronautics (AISS), First Missile Defense Conference,

http://www.aiaa.org/events/defense.

 

4 March, Tours, France, Israel - Analysis of the Domestic &

External Situation after the February 2003 elections,

http://www.univ-tours.fr/urbama/.

 

12 March, New York, New York City Bar Association, Committee on

Consumer Affairs, Identity Theft - Current Enforcement and

Prevention Efforts, jgreenbaum@fkkslaw.com.

 

14 March, Paris, Association Culture Economie Defense (CED),

Economic Intelligence in the Service of Business Strategies of

Acquisition, moray.associes@wanadoo.fr.

 

17-19 March, Paris, XP Conseil, EUROSEC Forum on Information

System Security, http://www.xpconseil.com/eurosec2003.

 

18-19 March, Washington, Radio Frequency Interference Forum,

http://www.aero.org/conferences/rfiforum.

 

19-20 March, Adelphi, Maryland, US Army Research Laboratory,

Radar-Electronic Warfare Conference, http://www.crows.org.

 

20 March, Paris, Centre des Hautes Etudes de l'Armement

(CHEAr), Electronic Commerce and Its Importance in Developing

Countries, fax 33 (0)1 44 42 52 78.

 

21 March, Paris, Institut des Hautes Etudes de la Defense

Nationale (IHEDN), Securing Business Information Systems and

Computer Networks, Jean-Philippe Jousa, honorary president of

the CLUSIF, Henri Serres, director for Information System

Security at the Secretariat General de la Defense Nationale

(SGDN), and Olivier Busolini, chief auditor of the Direction

Centrale de la Securite des Systemes d'Information.

 

24-26 March, Crystal City, Virginia, American Society of Naval

Engineers (ASNE), Integrating Technologies for Joint &

Coalition Operations, http://www.navalengineers.org.

 

24-26 March, London, International Quality Productivity Centre

(IQPC), Air Reconnaissance & Surveillance Conference,

http://www.iqpc-defence.com.

 

24-27 March, Charleston, North Carolina, US Transportation

Security Administration (TSA), Innovative Technologies in

Maritime Security.

 

26 March, Paris, From the SDECE to the DGSE - Evolution of

French Intelligence in the 1980s, by Col. Dominique Fonvielle,

author of ""Memoires d'un Agent Secret" (Flammarion, 2002),

17h30-19h30, Ecole Militaire, Amphitheter Sabatier, 21 place

Joffre, 75007 Paris.

 

27 March, Blacksburg, Virginia, Virginia Polytechnic Institute

and State University, Big Brother Technologies - A Choices and

Challenges Forum, http://www.cddc.vt.edu/choices/2003/.

 

27 March, Paris, Centre d'Etudes en Sciences Sociales de la

Defense (C2SD), Defense Careers and Women's Choices in the

Army, http://www.c2sd.sga.defense.gouv.fr.

 

27-28 March, Monterey, California, NDIA, Third Missiles and

Rockets Conference, http://www.ndia.org.

 

28 March, Paris, Institut des Hautes Etudes de la Defense

Nationale (IHEDN), Legal and Social Intelligence, with Jean

Kaspar, Alain Bensoussan and Thibault du Manoir de Juaye.

 

29 March, Paris, Ecole de Guerre Economique and infoguerre.com,

Third Infowar Conference, Does France Still Have a Major Power

Strategy?, http://www.infoguerre.com.

 

31 March, Bristol, England, Bristol University and Cranfield

College of Aeronautics, Unmanned Aerial Vehicle Conference,

http://www.vonline.co.uk.

 

31 March-1 April, Alexandria, Virginia, Strike Warfare and

Precision Attack, Compressing the "Flash-to-Bang" Cycle,

jcorrado@atpco.com.

 

31 March-1 April, Phoenix, Arizona, NDIA, Interoperability

Conference, http://www.ndia.org.

 

Late March, Paris, Vivendi Environnement, Henri Proglio,

Environmental Warfare - Risks, Threats and Prevention.

 

1 April, deadline for proposals for "Conflicts, Confidence,

Democracy"which will take place on 5-7 September in Sofia,

a_krasteva@hotmail.com.

 

---------------------------------------------

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