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INTELLIGENCE                                ISSN 1245-2122

N. 418, 10 March 2003

Every Two to Three Weeks

Next Issue on 24 March

Publishing since 1980

 

Editor

Olivier Schmidt

(email  adi@blythe.org;

web  http://www.blythe.org/Intelligence;

tel/fax  33 (0)1 40 51 85 19)

A one year subscription (18 issues with full index) is 325 euros. Payment by credit card possible.

 

TABLE OF CONTENTS, N. 418, 10 March 2003

 

FRONT PAGE

 

USA - MEDIA LEAKS AGAINST BUSH, BLAIR & WAR IN IRAQ p.1

 

TECHNOLOGY AND TECHNIQUES

 

TIMELINE 23 FEBRUARY TO 8 MARCH p.2

ASSET COLLECTION - The New Brit ARA Technique. p.3

 

PEOPLE

 

USA/PAKISTAN/KUWAIT - KHALID SHAIKH MOHAMMED p.4

GREAT BRITAIN - Sharon Kerr. p.5

 

AGENDA

 

COMING EVENTS THROUGH 15 APRIL 2003 p.6

 

INTELLIGENCE AROUND THE WORLD

 

USA - AN IRAQ WAR BECOMES A "DOMESTIC" PROBLEM p.7

USA/GREAT BRITAIN/ISRAEL - JIHAD SUSPECTS ROUNDED UP p.8

    - "ILLEGAL" ANTI-MISSILES & OTHER POLITICS p.9

    - FBI, HOMELAND & INTERNAL SECURITY p.10

    - DOD, CIA & OTHER INTELLIGENCE ACTIVITY p.11

GREAT BRITAIN - THE SECRETIVE SPECULATIVE SOCIETY p.12

              - HERE COMES THE US NATIONAL GUARD p.13

NORTHERN IRELAND - FROM "MAD DOG" TO "SAD" DOG p.14

IRELAND - FBI INFORMER IN THE DOCK p.15

WESTERN EUROPE - BRITAIN, FRANCE, GREECE & ITALY p.16

EASTERN EUROPE - BULGARIA, RUSSIA & CAUCASUS p.17

COLOMBIA - TRIAL PROCESS "A COMPLETE SHAM" p.18

LATIN AMERICA - COLOMBIA, VENEZUELA & CHILE p.19

AFRICA - South Africa, Ivory Coast & Algeria. p.20

ISRAEL/GREAT BRITAIN - ARGOV, ABU NIDAL, PLO & LEBANON p.21

IRAQ - KEEPING UP WITH WHITE HOUSE "WHEELING 'N DEALING" p.22

MIDDLE EAST - TURKEY, ISRAEL & THE REGION p.23

PAKISTAN - K. S. MOHAMMED CAUGHT & BIN LADEN NEXT p.24

NORTH KOREA - THE NEXT BIG PROBLEM p.25

ASIA - CHINA, PHILIPPINES & OTHER COUNTRIES p.26

 

---------------------------------------------

 

Intelligence, N. 418, 10 March 2003, p. 7

 

 

USA

 

AN IRAQ WAR BECOMES A "DOMESTIC" PROBLEM

 

 

In an indication that the situation has changed, media reports

concerning an eventual invasion of Iraq by US forces have

evolved, over the last fortnight, from massively pro-Bush (and

anti-European) commentaries, with no hint of hesitation in the

major Anglo-Saxon press, to a much more clearly ideologically

attitude (the right-wing press backs Bush and the remainder

criticized him) with hesitation and even open opposition in the

Anglo-Saxon press. The publication in "The Observer" of an

internal NSA document is the first and clearest major example

of the change. This change will continue to gain momentum as

the Bush administration pushes forward for war, listening only

to its tiny clique of neo-conservatives and refusing to listen

to the rest of the world. The first major tragedy of the XXIst

century could be the US invasion of Iraq only to satisfy that

very small group of persons who refuse to recognize they are

wrong and prefer to go to war to avoid the consequences to

recognizing their mistake.

  ...(cut)...

---------------------------------------------

 

Intelligence, N. 418, 10 March 2003, p. 15

 

 

IRELAND

 

FBI INFORMER IN THE DOCK

 

 

The family of Michael McKevitt, the alleged leader of the

Republican dissident group, the Real IRA (RIRA), is considering

suing David Rupert, the 51-year-old FBI and MI5 informer, for

making false allegations against the family in interviews with

the FBI and the Irish Garda. Sources in Dublin have said that

legal action -- if decided upon -- will take place in American

and Irish courts. Rupert is currently part of the FBI's witness

protection program and is expected to be the chief prosecution

witness at the trial, later this year, at the Special Criminal

Court in Dublin, where McKevitt will face charges of directing

acts of terrorism and being a member of a banned terrorist

organization.

  ...(cut)...

---------------------------------------------

 

Intelligence, N. 418, 10 March 2003, p. 18

 

 

COLOMBIA

 

TRIAL PROCESS "A COMPLETE SHAM"

 

 

The Irish government has been asked to intervene in the case of

three Irishmen on trial in Bogota on charges of training

members of the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) in

mortar technology and urban warfare. This follows the screening

of a video tape recording, made in Belfast on 22 February 2001,

which seriously undermines the integrity of the evidence given

by one of the prosecution's key witnesses, an alleged FARC

supergrass, Edwin Giovanny Rodriguez, who testified at the non-

jury trial before Judge Jairo Acosta, at Juzgado 1 courthouse,

on 7 February.

  ...(cut)...

---------------------------------------------

 

Intelligence, N. 418, 10 March 2003, p. 21

 

 

ISRAEL/GREAT BRITAIN

 

ARGOV, ABU NIDAL, PLO & LEBANON

 

 

The former Israeli ambassador to the UK, Shlomo Argov, was

paralyzed when shot while leaving a banquet at the Dorchester

Hotel in London, on 3 June 1982. He survived a three-month

coma, but required constant medical attention. He died from the

injuries he received, on 23 February 2003, according to

hospital sources in Jerusalem.

 

The attack was immediately blamed on the Palestinian Liberation

Organization (PLO) and three men were convicted of conspiracy

and attempted murder. The attack was also Israel's stated

reason for the invasion of Lebanon, on 6 June 1982, committing

76,000 soldiers, 1,250 tanks and 1,500 APCs supported by the

air force and navy, to the battle with Yasser Arafat's PLO. In

fact the gunman, Hussein Ghassan Sa'id, a Jordanian passport

holder, and his two accomplices -- Nawaf Rosan, who had an Iraq

passport and Marwan al Banna, who also carried a Jordanian

passport -- were not members of the PLO. They belonged to a

breakaway faction led by Abu Nidal, a former Fatah officer,

supported by the Baghdad regime, who violently opposed Arafat's

"capitulationist leadership" of the PLO. Subsequent events,

following the assassination attempt, suggest that the incident

was planned and carried out to provoke an assault by the

Israeli Defence Forces (IDF) against Arafat's Lebanese bases.

  ...(cut)...

---------------------------------------------

 

Intelligence, N. 418, 10 March 2003, p. 24

 

 

PAKISTAN

 

K. S. MOHAMMED CAUGHT & BIN LADEN NEXT

 

 

It was "Christian Science Monitor", on 6 February, which "got

it right" concerning the "embarrassing" arrest of Qaida no. 2

man, Khalid Sheik Mohammed. He was arrested at the home of a

parliamentary official, Gretchen Peters, an important member of

Pakistan's largest Islamic political party, Jamaat-e Islami.

Ahmed Abdul Qadoos, a Jamaat party member, was arrested along

with Mohammed and another Qaida terrorist. They had been holed

up in the home of his mother, Farzana Qadoos, who is an elected

district counselor for the conservative Islamic party. Her

residence, where the three men were arrested, is just five

minutes from Army headquarters in the twin city to the nation's

capital, and tucked in a guarded community that's home to top

military officials. Officials say Mohammed had been coming and

going from the home, apparently with little notice. Apparently

it was the multi-million dollar reward that slowly worked its

effect and eroded Mohammed's security. The same will probably

happen, in time, to Osama Bin Laden

  ...(cut)...

---------------------------------------------

 

 

AGENDA

 

 

Intelligence, N. 418, 10 March 2003, p. 6

 

 

COMING EVENTS THROUGH 15 APRIL 2003

 

 

In the interest of efficiency, "Intelligence" lists all coming

events only once according to date, and they are not repeated

in subsequent issues. Past Agendas are available free at our

web site <http://www.blythe.org/Intelligence> and additional

information concerning these events is available at 33 (0)1 40

51 85 19 (tel/fax) or adi@blythe.org (email). Paid

advertisements describing an event in greater detail are sent

directly to more than two thousand Internet subscribers and

members of our free distribution list.

 

10-11 March, Arlington, Virginia, NMIA, Electric Platforms

Conference, http://www.ttcus.com.

 

11 March, Montreal, UQAM, Nationalistic India, Is it a threat

to international security?, Pierre Thibault,

http://www.dandurand.uqam.ca.

 

24-25 March, Arlington, Virginia, NMIA, Mobile Communications &

Military Transformation Conference, http://www.ttcus.com.

 

27-28 March, Arlington, Virginia, Aviation Week, Defense Budget

Conference, http://www.AviationNow.com.

 

31 March-1 April, Arlington, Virginia, Technology Training

Corp., Future Unmanned Vehicles Conference,

http://www.technologytraining.com.

 

1 April, deadline for proposals for the 14th IEEE International

Symposium on Software Reliability Engineering, Denver,

Colorado, 17-20 November, http://issre2003.cs.colostate.edu.

 

1-4 April, New York, Association for Computing Machinery (ACM),

13th Annual Conference on Computers, Freedom and Privacy,

http://www.cfp2003.org/.

 

3 April, Paris, Ecole Nationale Superieure des Techniques

Avancees (ENSTA), Is there still room for European originality

compared to the United States?, tel 33 (0)1 44 42 51 97.

 

3 April, Marne-la-Vallee, near Paris, IFIS, Virtual Communities

and Collective Intelligence, http://www.univ-

mlv.fr/attachements/progconf2002-3.pdf.

 

3 April, Paris, IHEDN, Geostrategic Environnement, Importance,

Risks and Threats,

http://www.ihedn.fr/Pages/Pages_formations/Journee_defense.html

 

5-10 April, Fort Lauderdale, Florida, Computer-Human

Interaction, http://sigchi.org/chi2003/, including

Intercultural Computer-Mediated Discourse,

http://web.njit.edu/~yetim/activities/chi2003/.

 

6-8 April, Vancouver, Canada, Helicopter Association of Canada

Convention, http://www.h-a-c.ca.

 

6-8 April, Boston, Massachusetts, Infonortics, Search Engine

Meeting, http://www.infonortics.com.

 

7-10 April, Colorado Strings, Colorado, Space Foundation, 19th

National Space Symposium, http://www.spacesymposium.com.

 

7-10 April, Ridgecrest, California, ITEA, 7th Annual Test

Instrumentation Workshop, http://www.edwards.af.mil/itea.

 

9-12 April, Fort Worth, Texas, US Army Aviation Association

Conference, http://www.quad-a.org.

 

10-11 April, Washington, American Association for the

Advancement of Science (AAAS), 28th Annual Colloquium on

Science and Technology Policy,

http://www.aaas.org/spp/rd/colloqu.htm.

 

10-12 April, Bamberg, Germany, Cognitive Modeling,

http://iccm2003.ppp.uni-bamberg.de/.

 

11 April, Ottawa, Canada, Riley Information Services,

Integrating Government With New Technologies - E-Government,

Change and Information Democracy,

http://www.rileyis.com/seminars/.

 

13-17 April, San Francisco, California, RSA Security

Conference, http://www.rsaconference.com/.

 

14-15 April, Nancy, France, INIST-CNRS, Economic Intelligence -

Research & Applications, http://iera-2003.loria.fr/head.html.

 

15 April, deadline for candidates for 15 scholarships for

theses in social and humane sciences financed by the French

Ministry of Defense. http://www.defense.gouv.fr/bourses-shs.

 

15-17 April, Washington, Navy League Association, Sea-Air-Space

2003, http://www.navyleague.org.

 

---------------------------------------------

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