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INTELLIGENCE                                ISSN 1245-2122

N. 421, 28 April 2003

Every Two to Three Weeks

Next Issue on 12 May

Publishing since 1980

 

Editor

Olivier Schmidt

(email  adi@blythe.org;

web  http://www.blythe.org/Intelligence)

A one year subscription (18 issues with full index) is 325 euros. Payment by credit card possible.

 

TABLE OF CONTENTS, N. 421, 28 April 2003

 

FRONT PAGE

 

NORTHERN IRELAND - STEVENS, THE THIRD COLLUSION REPORT p.1

 

TECHNOLOGY AND TECHNIQUES

 

TIMELINE 7 APRIL TO 26 APRIL p.2

MORE LETHAL VERSION OF "NON-LETHAL" CROWD CONTROL p.3

 

PEOPLE

 

USA - RICHARD J. QUIRK III p.4

GREAT BRITAIN - IAN PARR p.5

GREAT BRITAIN/IRAQ - NADHMI SHAKIR AUCHI p.6

NORTHERN IRELAND - BRIAN NELSON p.7

 

AGENDA

 

COMING EVENTS THROUGH 1 JUNE 2003 p.8

 

INTELLIGENCE AROUND THE WORLD

 

USA - PAT BUCHANAN & LEFTIES VS. SHARON'S BUSH p.9

    - FBI ANTHRAX CASE, PRIVACY & HOMELAND SECURITY p.10

    - CIA CRITICIZED FOR IRAQ INTEL & OTHER NEWS p.11

GREAT BRITAIN - BLOODY SUNDAY A "FIRST RATE OPERATION" p.12

NORTHERN IRELAND - COLLUSION STILL DAMAGING THE PEACE p.13

NETHERLANDS - FORTUYN MURDER, CASE (ALMOST) CLOSED p.14

SPAIN - FORMER CESID CHIEFS FACE PRISON TERMS p.15

WESTERN EUROPE - BRITAIN, FRANCE & GERMANY p.16

EASTERN EUROPE - RUSSIA, CAUCASUS & THE OTHERS p.17

GUATEMALA - CIA Coup Conference. p.18

ISRAEL - ASKING FOR IRAQI OIL TOO SOON p.19

IRAQ - BAATHS, SHIITES OR JUST "RUMMY'S BOYS" p.20

     - $3-MILLION-UNDER-THE-ROBE "DEMOCRACY" p.21

     - SPECIAL OPS SHOOTS AT RUSSIAN AMBASSADOR p.22

     - SPY ARCHIVES END UP AT ... TELEGRAPH p.23

     - US FORBIDDEN ARMS "JUST AREN'T THERE" p.24

     - MONGOLS & BUSH WHITE HOUSE DELETE ART p.25

     - WAS AN "END GAME" DEAL DONE? p.26

     - JESSICA LYNCH SAVED BY ... IRAQIS p.27

SYRIA - ISRAEL'S NEXT OBJECTIVE FOR BUSH WHITE HOUSE p.28

INDIA - Next to Use "Bush Whacking" pre-emptive strike. p.29

CHINA - SUMMARY OF HUMAN RIGHTS IN USA REPORT p.30

NORTH KOREA - WE'VE GOT THE BOMB, SO WHAT? p.31

 

---------------------------------------------

 

Intelligence, N. 421, 28 April 2003, p. 1

 

 

NORTHERN IRELAND

 

STEVENS, THE THIRD COLLUSION REPORT

 

 

For those in Ireland who were victims of the British

government's premeditated counter-insurgency policy of "taking

the war to the IRA", the 20-page summary, published on 17

April, of the third report by the Metropolitan Police

Commissioner, Sir John Stevens, into allegations that the

security forces colluded with Loyalist paramilitary

organizations in Northern Ireland, in the 1980s and early

1990s, will simply confirm what they have always known.

 

The 3,000-page report of the third four-year investigation,

presented to the PSNI Chief Constable, Hugh Orde, officially

acknowledges that the British Army Force Research Unit (FRU),

the RUC Special Branch, and the Ulster Defence Association

(UDA) colluded in several murders which could have been

prevented: In particular, that of 19-year-old Adam Lambert,

described as a "young Protestant student with no criminal

record or links to terrorism" who was shot on a building site

in Highview Crescent, Belfast, on 9 November 1987, by Loyalist

gunmen who assumed he was a Catholic; and the murder of 39-

year-old Belfast solicitor, Patrick Finucane, "shot fourteen

times by two masked gunmen who entered his house in the early

evening", on 12 February 1989. The following day, the Ulster

Freedom Fighters (UFF) -- the "nom de guerre" used by UDA death

squads - -claimed responsibility.

  ...(cut)...

---------------------------------------------

 

Intelligence, N. 421, 28 April 2003, p. 9

 

 

USA

 

PAT BUCHANAN & LEFTIES VS. SHARON'S BUSH

 

 

Even during the Clinton administration when the FBI tried to

forbid US public access to strong Internet encryption programs,

a strange alliance of conservative Republicans concerned with

protecting personal liberties, right-of-center businessmen who

wanted to protect their companies and leftist privacy activists

developed and managed to block the FBI and the administration's

erroneous policy. Now, an equally strange alliance is

developing against the extremely pro-Sharon Middle East policy

of George Bush and his neoconservative clique. The alliance

brings together most anti-war groups -- which are already

against the very aggressive policies of Ariel Sharon and Likud

extremists in Israel -- and conservative nationalist

politicians who increasingly believe that Bush and his

neocoservatives have equated Sharon's policy with US national

security interests in the Middle East. It's an explosive

formula since many of the conservative nationalists are

fundamentalist Christians and don't hesitate to confuse an

anti-Sharon position with an anti-Jewish position. But the bomb

is "on the table" and none other than Christian right

presidential candidate,  Pat Buchanan, is leading the charge.

 

0324 American Conservative, Whose War? A neoconservative clique

seeks to ensnare our country in a series of wars that are not

in America's interest, Patrick J. Buchanan.

  ...(cut)...

---------------------------------------------

 

Intelligence, N. 421, 28 April 2003, p. 10

 

 

USA

 

FBI ANTHRAX CASE, PRIVACY & HOMELAND SECURITY

 

 

Over the past three weeks, the major FBI story has been the

"Baltimore Sun" look into where the FBI is on its year-and-a-

half old anthrax mail attack investigation which still hasn't

produced an arrest or even a declared suspect, although

evidence has clearly indicated that the perpetrator is member

of the US security establishment with biological weapons

experience. But even within this small number of persons, the

FBI has designated a suspect. So it's been working on lab tests

of the anthrax strands, the only evidence it has.

  ...(cut)...

---------------------------------------------

 

Intelligence, N. 421, 28 April 2003, p. 11

 

 

USA

 

CIA CRITICIZED FOR IRAQ INTEL & OTHER NEWS

 

 

It's not usually the BBC's job to criticized British, much less

American, intelligence services. But with unilateral, pre-

emptive military invasion to instore "democracy", we live in

unusual times and Paul Reynolds 24 April BBC report, "Can we

trust the intelligence services?" is unusual for the BBC and

about Iraq. According to Reynolds, "the accusation by the chief

UN weapons inspector, Hans Blix, that the case against Iraq was

'shaky' raises the question as to whether the US and British

intelligence services can be trusted over one of the major

issues of our day -- the spread of weapons of mass

destruction." Alex Standish, editor of "Jane's Intelligence

Digest" has stated that "there has also been the non-appearance

of 1.4 tons of VX nerve agent, 20,000 chemical capable

artillery shells, 25,000 litres of anthrax, 12-20 Scud

missiles, mobile biological warfare laboratories and chemical

and biological weapons 'deployable within 45 minutes', all of

which Iraq was alleged to have had." According to Reynolds, who

quotes Standish, the charges against Iraq were "politically

driven." "There were three planks in the argument," according

to Standish. "The first was to find links between Iraq and 11

September and when that failed, between Iraq and al-Qaida. "The

second was to find weapons of mass destruction and the third

was the human rights issue." "Only the third plank remains and

the details of those human rights abuses were well-known and

cobbled together in a document which was a cut-and-paste job

from other publications." He concluded: "There has been a

dereliction of duty" by the intelligence services. It's good to

hear "Jane's" talking reason ... even concerning the CIA and

MI6.

  ...(cut)...

---------------------------------------------

 

Intelligence, N. 421, 28 April 2003, p. 20

 

 

IRAQ

 

BAATHS, SHIITES OR JUST "RUMMY'S BOYS"

 

 

The fundamental power structure in Mesopotamia has been, for

many years, the confrontation between Sunnite and Shiite

Muslims more-or-less aligned, respectively, with Iraq and Iran,

two countries which have already fought a long, bloody war, fed

and sustained by Washington and many Western allies. The Bush

invasion and occupation of Iraq is only an incident with a

transient impact on this power structure and will have to

adapt, since it cannot change it without a massive and long-

term effort which the United States, like in Vietnam, is

incapable of sustaining.

 

In this context, what does the Bush White House's use of the

term "democracy" mean. Policy-maker Donald "Rummy" Rumsfeld has

made it clear that: "A vocal minority clamoring to transform

Iraq in Iran's image will not be permitted to do so." In short,

"democracy" means what "Rummy" decides. If there's a Pentagon-

sponsored election, the only candidate will be Rummy, or his

"list" of candidates. Of course, the runner-up will be the

number one "write in" candidate: Saddam Hussein. So Iraqis have

a choice between Rummy's "democracy" or Saddam's tyranny.

 

In the meantime, the CIA and the DIA fly in their Iraqi agents

maintained in exile to try to put a pro-US veneer on this

fundamental power structure. But the graft isn't taking and in

one tragi-comic incident, some of these US agents, one with $3

million under his clerical robes, were attacked by "locals"

(Rummy calls them "Iranian agents") and were either killed or

fled before being "exfiltrated" in US military helicopters (see

article below). In another revealing test, order has been

restored in Basra by one of Saddam's generals hired by the

Pentagon (see 0412, Times, Baathist [a former brigadier-general

in Saddam Hussein's army, Sheikh Muzahim Mustafa Kanan Tameemi]

appointed to police Basra, David Charter).

 

Rumsfeld's veneer on this regional power structure can

realistically take only two forms. The first is the Basra case:

reestablishment of Baath Party pro-Sunnite dominance. The other

is the Iranian example: a Shiite-dominated Iranian-influenced

regime. These two opposing solutions have been in diametric

opposition to each other long before anyone was taking orders

from Donald Rumsfeld and will still be fighting each other long

after Rummy has disappeared. Moreover, Donald Rumsfeld is not

the sort of person to get involved in any "subtle mixing" of

the two. He can stuff their pockets with as many dollars as he

wants, but neither of the two want Rumsfeld's troops around,

and working with Rummy means taking orders and becoming

American agents ... just like the shah of Iran.

 

The "end game" has begun in Iraq, but it is going to take quite

a while to play out and Rumsfeld and his rubber-stamp president

probably won't be around for the second scene.

  ...(cut)...

---------------------------------------------

 

Intelligence, N. 421, 28 April 2003, p. 21

 

 

IRAQ

 

$3-MILLION-UNDER-THE-ROBE "DEMOCRACY"

 

 

Of all the press reports on the murder of Iraqi Shiite leader,

Abdul Majid al Khoei, on 9 April in Najar, only Knght Rider and

Tribune articles "got it right": it was a major setback for

Donald Rumsfeld's pro-Bush plans for Iraq. This was also noted

by the Russian press which quoted extensively from the

"Tribune" report.

  ...(cut)...

---------------------------------------------

 

 

AGENDA

 

 

Intelligence, N. 421, 28 April 2003, p. 8

 

 

COMING EVENTS THROUGH 1 JUNE 2003

 

 

In the interest of efficiency, "Intelligence" lists all coming

events only once according to date, and they are not repeated

in subsequent issues. Past Agendas are available free at our

web site <http://www.blythe.org/Intelligence> and additional

information concerning these events is available at 33 (0)1 40

51 85 19 (tel/fax) or adi@blythe.org (email). Paid

advertisements describing an event in greater detail are sent

directly to more than two thousand Internet subscribers and

members of our free distribution list.

 

5-7 May, New York, Aviation Week, Aerospace & Defense Finance

Conference, http://www.aviationnow.com.

 

7-8 May, London, Royal Aeronautical Society, Flight Simulation

Conference, http://www.aerosociety.com.

 

7-9 May, Ottawa, Canada, Centre for Collaborative Government,

Finding Our Digital Voice - Governing in the Information Age,

Crossing Boundaries National Conference,

http://www.crossingboundaries.ca/conference/.

 

8-9 May, Namur, Belgium, University of Namur, Collecting and

Producing Electronic Evidence in Cybercrime Cases,

http://www.ctose.org/info/events/workshop-8-9-may-2003.html.

 

11-14 May, Oakland, California, IEEE Computer Society Technical

Committee on Security and Privacy, in cooperation with the

International Association for Cryptologic Research (IACR),

Symposium on Security and Privacy, http://www.ieee-

security.org/TC/SP-Index.html.

 

15 May, Paris, Ministry of Defence Centre d'Etudes en Sciences

Sociales de la Defense (C2SD), Military in the Cities -

Integration Practices, http://www.c2sd.sga.defense.gouv.fr.

 

15-16 May, Washington, US State Department, The United States,

Guatemala, and Latin America - New Perspectives on the 1954

Coup, http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ho/15021.htm.

 

17-22 May, Fort Knox, Virginia, 2003 Armor Conference, The

Cutting Edge to Victory - On the Ground for America.

 

19-22 May, Tampa, Florida, US Special Operations Command,

Special Operations Forces Week & Advance Planning to Industry

Conference, http://www.meetingmattersplus.com.

 

20-21 May, Port Marly, near Paris, Defense Industry Forum,

fed@versailles.cci.fr.

 

22-23 May, Arlington, Virginia, Pipeline Safety & Security

Expo.

 

28-30 May, Brno, Czech Republic, IDET 2003 6th International

Conference on Weapons Systems jiri.balla@wabo.cz.

 

1 June, deadline for proposals for the 19th Annual Computer

Security Applications Conference on 8-12 December in Las Vegas,

Nevada, http://www.acsac.org.

 

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