The Int-Free list has two forms: this email distribution list

and also a highly-secure, passwork-protected web-based list at

http://www.blythe.org. You can join the latter at the Web site,

but it is limited to 200 persons. You can stay on this list if

you wish. Send us an email if you want to be removed.

 

 

INTELLIGENCE                                ISSN 1245-2122

N. 425, 14 July 2003

Every Two to Three Weeks

Next Issue on 8 September

Publishing since 1980

 

HAVE A NICE SUMMER VACATION.

 

Editor

Olivier Schmidt

(email  intelligence-adi@wanadoo.fr;

web  http://www.blythe.org/Intelligence)

A one year subscription (18 issues with full index) is 325

euros. Payment by credit card possible.

 

TABLE OF CONTENTS, N. 425, 14 July 2003

 

FRONT PAGE

 

USA - CIA/MI6 SPLIT OVER IRAQ BLAME COMING p.1

 

TECHNOLOGY AND TECHNIQUES

 

TIMELINE FROM 22 JUNE TO 11 JULY p.2

COMPUTER FORENSICS - Two US Justice Reports. p.3

POLITICAL "CONSCIENCE" OF THE IRAQ-INVASION COALITION p.4

CATALOG OF BAE SYSTEMS "DODGY" BUSINESS PRACTICES p.5

NEW REPORTS AND MILITARY TECHNOLOGY p.6

 

PEOPLE

 

USA/UKRAINE - PAVLO LAZARENKO p.7

GREAT BRITAIN/IRAQ - STEPHEN WHITE p.8

SAUDI ARABIA - SAAD AL-FAGIH p.9

 

AGENDA

 

COMING EVENTS THROUGH 30 SEPTEMBER 2003 p.10

 

INTELLIGENCE AROUND THE WORLD

 

USA - INTELLIGENCE VERSUS THE POLITICS OF LYING p.11

    - RUMSFELD STILL RUNNING USA FOREIGN POLICY p.12

    - FBI ALMOST BACK TO NORMAL AFTER 11 SEPT. p.13

GREAT BRITAIN - IRAQI "REGIME CHANGE" COMES TO LONDON p.14

              - POST-WW II ANTI-USSR SPY STRATEGY p.15

NORTHERN IRELAND - THIRTEEN LOYALIST VICTIMS & MORE p.16

                 - EUROPEAN COURT RULING IN FINUCANE CASE p.17

FRANCE - "TOUS AZIMUTS" MEANS WITH RUSSIA p.18

NETHERLANDS - NATO OFFICER LINKED TO MONEY LAUNDERING p.19

EASTERN EUROPE - Czech Republic to Russia & Ukraine. p.20

CAUCASUS - Continued Violence. p.21

COLOMBIA - FARC/IRA TRIAL ADJOURNED p.22

LATIN AMERICA - Colombia, Venezuela & Peru. p.23

AFRICA - ZIMBABWE, MALAWI, LIBERIA & MOROCCO p.24

ISRAEL - NON-COOPERATION WITH THE BBC p.25

IRAQ - 1,000 WOUNDED BUT OFFICIALLY NOT A QUAGMIRE p.26

IRAN - Heat Is Turned Up. p.27

KOREA - POLITICS, NOT NEWS, FOR "NEW YORK TIMES" p.28

AUSTRALIA - GOVERNMENT KNEW OF THREAT TO BALI p.29

ASIA - AFGHANISTAN, PAKISTAN, INDONESIA & AUSTRALIA p.30

 

---------------------------------------------

 

Intelligence, N. 425, 14 July 2003, p. 1

 

 

USA

 

CIA/MI6 SPLIT OVER IRAQ BLAME COMING

 

 

The CIA is now neck-deep in the Bush White House political

scandal of the Iraq invasion because of the latter's WMD and

association with Qaida terrorism. Ties with terrorism, always

tenuous and taken very seriously, were recently buried by a UN

Security Council report (see "Iraq" in this issue). As for

supposed Iraqi weapons of mass destruction, American and

British attention has focused on the falsified report of

uranium purchase in Niger and Tony Blair's claim that such

weapons were ready to be used within 45 hours. That is hardly

what "Iraqi WMD" boils down to, according to this month's

"Foreign Policy" article, "Can Preventive War Cure

Proliferation?", by Joseph Cirincione, which produced the

following list of quotes of what Bush and Blair officials said

Iraq possessed: Nuclear Program - "Has or soon could have

nuclear weapons", "Sought to import uranium and equipment for

centrifuges to enrich it", "Rebuilt facilities at sites that

were previously part of its nuclear program", "Active cadre of

Iraqi nuclear scientists"; Biological Program - "Biological

weapons program far larger than before 1991 war", "Materials to

produce thousands of liters of anthrax, botulinum toxin, and

other biological agents, enough to kill millions", "Large-

scale, redundant, and concealed biological weapons agent

production capability", "Expanded and improved facilities for

weapons production", "Civilian plants that could be and may

have been rapidly converted for weapons", "At least seven

mobile weapons factories"; Chemical Program - "Between 100 and

500 tons of chemical agents, enough to fill 16,000 rockets",

"Rebuilt and expanded facilities capable of producing chemical

weapons", "Civilian facilities embedded in weapons program",

"30,000 munitions capable of delivering chemical and biological

agents", "Weapons ready for launch in 45 minutes"; Missile

Program - "Several dozen Scud-type missiles and launchers",

"Programs with test stands to develop longer-range missiles",

"A variety of unmanned aerial vehicles, linked to devices for

delivering weapons of mass destruction".

 

"Intelligence" had warned that "if push comes to shove", the

CIA and MI6 were entirely capable of digging out and leaking to

the press intelligence which would "prove" that they did their

job correctly and that the blame is with Republican Party

neoconservatives and British New Labour. That has come to past

and is thoroughly documented in this issue with former and

serving CIA and MI6 officials making the news as never before.

The real surprise for us and many other specialists is not that

this scandal may cost the political career of Blair, and

possibly Bush, but that the scandal has gone so far as to

generate hostilities between the CIA and MI6 which are now

accusing each other of being responsible for the false Niger

uranium sale document (see 0711 CMS & WP below). This is indeed

very serious news and, if confirmed and maintained, would

indicate a major split and realignment of Western intelligence.

Keep your eyes and ears open, and expect muted cheering from

the French DGSE, the German BND and the Russian SVR if MI6

decides to join their ranks.

  ...(cut)...

---------------------------------------------

 

Intelligence, N. 425, 14 July 2003, p. 8

 

 

GREAT BRITAIN/IRAQ - STEPHEN WHITE

 

 

A spokeswoman for the British Foreign Office in London

confirmed a 30 June report in the "Financial Times" that a

senior officer with the Police Service of Northern Ireland

(PSNI) -- formerly the Royal Ulster Constabulary (RUC) -- is to

be sent to Iraq to devise a training plan for a new police

force. Assistant Chief Constable, Stephen White, will be posted

to the southern city of Basra where six members of the British

Military Police were killed recently.

  ...(cut)...

---------------------------------------------

 

 

INTELLIGENCE AROUND THE WORLD

 

 

Intelligence, N. 425, 14 July 2003, p. 11

 

 

USA

 

INTELLIGENCE VERSUS THE POLITICS OF LYING

 

 

On 7 July, former US Marines intelligence officer and former

CIA officer, Robert Steele, now head of Open Source Solutions

(OSS), in "US-UK Administrations Bear False Witness While

Intelligence Reforms Are Neglected" had this to say about the

current scandal of the Bush-Blair invasion of Iraq: "We believe

that US and UK policymakers (minus the UK Foreign Minister who

resigned with honour) bore false witness to their legislatures

and their peoples. This is both a violation of the Commandment

(8th or 9th or 16th or 20th, depending) against bearing false

witness, and an impeachable offense in light of the costs to

mankind as well as the taxpaying public." Steele pointed to two

articles, "one on the specifics of Presidential lying about the

weapons of mass destruction" [0623 Mother Jones, Whoppers of

Mass Destruction. I cannot tell a lie. Or can I? Dennis Cass],

the other on "the more general epidemic of lying in America"

[0704 dodgeglobe.com, Jayson Blair and the Ten Commandments: Is

there a US "epidemic of lying"? Richard N. Ostling], and noted

"with concern a third article that seeks to pin all the blame

on the U.S. intelligence community [0705 Alameda Times

(California) Let down by intelligence agencies, Dan K.

Thomasson]. We disagree with the latter. The US Intelligence

Community lacked adequate clandestine and open source

intelligence, it lacked analytic toolkits, it lacked strong

management willing to stand up to political figures seeking

'noble lies' to further their agenda, but on balance, the US

Intelligence Community did the best it could. Bearing false

witness -- the impeachable offenses -- are on the heads of

Bush, Cheney, Rumsfeld, and their neo-conservative sycophants

and pick-pockets." We thoroughly agree with Steele, although we

would cheer his former employers less.

  ...(cut)...

---------------------------------------------

 

Intelligence, N. 425, 14 July 2003, p. 14

 

 

GREAT BRITAIN

 

IRAQI "REGIME CHANGE" COMES TO LONDON

 

 

A 54-page report, entitled "The Decision To Go To War In Iraq"

by the parliamentary Foreign Affairs Select Committee (FASC)

concerning Downing Street's use -- or abuse, as critics claim -

- of intelligence material prior to the invasion or Iraq, was

published in London on 7 July. The Labour-dominated committee

of 11 parliamentarians, chaired by Labour MP, Donald Anderson,

conducted an inquiry, mainly in public, into whether Prime

Minister Tony Blair had exaggerated the threat of weapons of

mass destruction (WMD) allegedly posed by the Baghdad regime,

and whether the government chief communications officer,

Alastair Campbell, had deliberately "sexed up" an intelligence

assessment to include the claim -- made in a dossier published

by the government last September -- that Iraq's WMD could be

deployed within 45 minutes. In a forward to the dossier, Mr.

Blair states that some chemical and biological weapons in

Saddam Hussein's WMD arsenal, would be "ready within 45

minutes."

  ...(cut)...

---------------------------------------------

 

 

AGENDA

 

 

Intelligence, N. 425, 14 July 2003, p. 10

 

 

COMING EVENTS THROUGH 30 SEPTEMBER 2003

 

In the interest of efficiency, "Intelligence" lists all coming

events only once according to date, and they are not repeated

in subsequent issues. Past Agendas are available free at our

web site <http://www.blythe.org/Intelligence> and additional

information concerning these events is available at 33 (0)1 40

51 85 19 (tel/fax) or intelligence-adi@wanadoo.fr (email). Paid

advertisements describing an event in greater detail are sent

directly to more than two thousand Internet subscribers and

members of our free distribution list.

 

23-24 July, Patuxent River, Maryland, Precision Strike

Association (PSA), Precision Engagement Operations Forum,

http://www.precisionstrike.org.

 

4-7 August, Washington, Naval-Industry Research & Development

Partnership Conference.

 

18-21 August, Huntsville, Alabama, US Army Space & Missile

Defense Association & NDIS, Sixth Annual Space & Missile

Defense Conference, http://www.smdconf.org.

 

19-20 August, Los Angeles, California, Aerospace Corporation,

Fifth Annual Space & Air Protection Conference,

http://www.crows.org.

 

26-28 August, Montgomery, Alabama, US Air Force Information

Technology.

 

1 September, deadline for submissions for 29-30 April 2004,

Manchester, England, University of Newcastle, University of

Salford and GURU, Urban Vulnerability and Network Failure -

Constructions and Experiences of Emergencies, Crises and

Collapse, s.d.n.graham@ncl.ac.uk or s.marvin@salford.ac.uk.

 

3 September, Washington, International Defense Cooperation

Common Defense (ComDef), http://www.ideea.com.

 

3-5 September, New Delhi, India, Eight Indian International

Civil & Defense Meeting, 91 11 683 5096.

 

5 September, deadline for contributions to the 3-5 March 2004,

Papeete, Tahiti, French Polynesia, IEEE/IFIP Tenth Pacific Rim

International Symposium on Dependable Computing (PRDC'2004),

http://www.laas.fr/PRDC10.

 

5-7 September, Sofia, Conflicts, confidence, democracy",

a_krasteva@hotmail.com.

 

6-12 September, Aberdeen Proving Ground, Maryland and USAMRIID,

Fort Detrick, Maryland, Medical Management of Chemical and

Biological Casualties (MCBC) Course http://ccc.apgea.army.mil/.

 

9-12 September, London, Defence Systems & Equipment

International Meeting.

 

10-12 September, Durban, South Africa, Department of

Information Studies, Rand Afrikaans University, and the

Department of Information Systems and Technology, University of

Durban-Westville, Fifth Annual Conference on World Wide Web

Applications (WWW2003), http://www.udw.ac.za/www2003/.

 

12 September, Sophia-Antipolis, France, CERAM and IHESI, Third

Economic Intelligence and Risk Management Meeting,

http://www.ceram.edu/colloques www.2mbi.com.

 

12-13 September, London, Institute of Historical Research,

University of London, Britain and the Culture of the Cold War,

http://www.ihr.sas.ac.uk/icbh/bulletinboard.html.

 

14-17 September, Biloxi, Mississippi, US National Guard

Association 15th General Conference, http://www.ngaus.org.

 

15-17 September, Washington, US Air Force Association (AFA)

Annual Meeting.

 

15-19 September, New York, OSS 03 Beyond OSINT,

http://www.oss.net.

 

16-18 September, Quantico, Virginia, Modern Day Marine Meeting.

 

17-20 September, Oxford, England, Information, Communication

and Society, http://www.oii.ox.ac.uk/callforpapers.html.

 

19-20 September, Oslo, Norway, Geneva Centre for the Democratic

Control of Armed Forces, Making Intelligence Accountable,

http://www.dcaf.ch/news/Intel%20Acct_Oslo%200903/ws_mainpage.ht

ml.

 

19-21 September, Amsterdam, Communities and Technologies

Conference, http///www.feweb.vu.nl/C&T2003.

 

21-24 September, Nashville, Tennessee, Association of Old Crows

(AOC) 40th International Convention, http://www.aoc.org.

 

22-23 September, Alexandria, Virginia, Force Projection 2003 -

Transformation & Rapid Reaction Warfare,

http://www.defensenews.com.

 

23-25 September, Tyson's Corner, Virginia, AFEI, Enterprise

Integration Expo, http://www.afei.org.

 

25-26 September, Washington, Homeland Security, Weapons of Mass

Destruction (Nuclear and Chem/Bio Terrorism).

 

30 September-2 October, Columbus, Ohio, Privacy 2003,

Technology Policy Group Meeting,

http://www.privacy2000.org/privacy2003/.

 

30 September-3 October, Washington, InfowarCon, Homeland

Defense, Terrorism and Non-Lethal Weapons,

http://www.infowarcon.org.

 

---------------------------------------------

<END OF FIEL>