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INTELLIGENCE                                ISSN 1245-2122

N. 427, 22 September 2003

Every Two to Three Weeks

Next Issue on 6 October 2003

Publishing since 1980

 

Editor

Olivier Schmidt

(email  intelligence-adi@wanadoo.fr;

web  http://www.blythe.org/Intelligence)

A one year subscription (18 issues with

full index) is 325 euros. Payment by

credit card possible.

 

TABLE OF CONTENTS, N. 427, 22 September 2003

 

FRONT PAGE

 

USA - INTELLIGENCE BECOMES POLITICS & VICE VERSA p.1

 

TECHNOLOGY AND TECHNIQUES

 

TIMELINE FROM 8 SEPTEMBER TO 19 SEPTEMBER p.2

PRIVACY AND HUMAN RIGHTS SURVEY 2003 p.3

NATO'S EARLY UNRELIABLE NUCLEAR WEAPONRY p.4

DNA - Proposing the First National Data Base. p.5

WHEN PEACEFUL DEMONSTRATIONS ARE "TERRORISM" p.6

 

PEOPLE

 

USA - PAUL EVANS p.7

USA - DAVID BOLKA p.8

 

AGENDA

 

COMING EVENTS THROUGH 1 NOVEMBER 2003 p.9

 

INTELLIGENCE AROUND THE WORLD

 

USA - FBI KEEPS DHS IN THE DARK p.10

    - CIA News. p.11

    - Intelligence News at the DOD. p.12

GREAT BRITAIN - ISC REPORT ON IRAQ DOSSIER INTELLIGENCE p.13

              - AL-QAIDA'S UK PRESENCE p.14

NORTHERN IRELAND - PEACE MONITORS NAMED p.15

                 - THE MYSTERIOUS DEATH OF BRIAN NELSON p.16

IRELAND - GAGGING LAW CONDEMNED p.17

NETHERLANDS - DEATH THREAT TO LEADING PROSECUTOR p.18

RUSSIA/GREAT BRITAIN - FIGHTING IN LONDON & CHECHNYA p.19

COLOMBIA - UNETHICAL AID FROM THE UK p.20

IRAQ - CORDESMAN'S CLEAR VISION OF QUAGMIRE p.21

     - IRISH LEGAL EXPERTISE REQUIRED p.22

MIDDLE EAST - ISRAEL, SYRIA, SAUDI ARABIA & IRAN p.23

AFGHANISTAN/PAKISTAN/INDIA - MORE TALIBAN & AL QAIDA p.24

PHILIPPINES - Intelligence News. p.25

AUSTRALIA - Another Government Casuality of Iraqi WMD. p.26

 

---------------------------------------------

 

Intelligence, N. 427, 22 September 2003, p. 1

 

 

USA

 

INTELLIGENCE BECOMES POLITICS & VICE VERSA

 

 

Something has definitely changed on the US political scene when

the conservative and pro-Republican "Wall Street Journal", on

10 September, states that when President George Bush and

Secretary of State Colin Powell were warning that Iraq could

strike the US with biological and chemical weapons carried by

unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), these top policymakers would

have known that the US Air Force disagreed with this

assessment.

 

Former US Marine Corps intelligence officer and CIA case

officer, Robert Steele, founder of Open Source Solutions (OSS),

has been even more critical of the Bush White House and its

manipulation of intelligence to obtain backing for the invasion

of Iraq. Over the summer, Steele's oss.net has produced

extensive material on the question. On 12 July, Steele,

commenting on Gore Vidal's "Dreaming War - Blood for Oil and

the Cheney-Bush Junta", stated that: "In this book by Gore

Vidal, we see a left-of-center but never-the-less very valuable

perspective on the price that a Republic pays when it accepts

lies at the highest levels of governance. ... Interestingly,

this book emphasizes something I had not considered that bears

emphasis: although there were numerous intelligence failures in

detail, Vidal suggests that the Director of Central

Intelligence is correct when he claims that 9-11 was not (at

root) an intelligence failure -- but then leaves unsaid what

Vidal says explicitly: it was a policy failure in that Bush-

Cheney decided not to alarm the people and not to share the

warning information, in part to avoid turbulence and in part

because such an attack would be welcome -- as Pearl Harbor was

welcome -- as a means to remilitarize foreign policy.

  ...(cut)...

---------------------------------------------

 

Intelligence, N. 427, 22 September 2003, p. 10

 

 

USA

 

FBI KEEPS DHS IN THE DARK

 

 

According to a 8 September "Washington Post" report, the FBI

has hired Glenn Cross of Science Applications International

Corp. (SAIC) as a full-time counter-terrorism analyst.

Apparently, the FBI doesn't see any "conflict of interest" in

this nomination even though Cross was a colleague of Steven J.

Hatfill, the "person of interest" in the investigation of the

anthrax mail attacks of late 2001. Although the FBI does not

believe that this would cause problems if Hatfill were brought

to trial, Hatfill's attorneys believe that it would affect the

purity of Cross as a witness. Certain specialist see a conflict

of interest and perhaps an explanation of why the Bureau can't

find a suspect for the anthrax attacks.

 

With the release of the Congressional investigation of why the

FBI -- and the CIA -- failed to "connect the dots" to avoid the

11 September 2001 attacks, one would have thought that the

Department of Homeland Security (DHS), specifically created to

improve the circulation of intelligence on terrorism, would be

taking over this failed FBI task. But that's reasoning without

taking into consideration the enormous leverage the FBI has

with conservative Republicans in Washington. The result is that

DHS "intelligence sharing" will be subservient to FBI

willingness which prove catastrophic on 11 September 2001. The

Terrorist Screening Center (TSC) will be under FBI control and,

according to papers, merge a patchwork of a dozen existing

lists currently maintained by nine different federal agencies.

The CIA will officially provide information on individuals with

ties to international terror organizations, such as Al-Qaida

and Hezbollah, which it did not do correctly before 11

September 2001. The FBI will officially provide the center with

its data on individuals sought for domestic terror activities,

but this is going to include such FBI "classics" as bombing

abortion clinics or torching sports-utility vehicles, which

took precedence over Islamic terrorism for the FBI before the

11 September attacks.

  ...(cut)...

---------------------------------------------

 

Intelligence, N. 427, 22 September 2003, p. 13

 

 

GREAT BRITAIN

 

ISC REPORT ON IRAQ DOSSIER INTELLIGENCE

 

 

Last February, a month before the "coalition of the willing"

invaded Iraq to secure regime change and remove the alleged

threat from Saddam Hussein's WMDs, the British Joint

Intelligence Committee (JIC), under the chairmanship of ex-MI6

Moscow CoS, John Scarlett, warned the Prime Minister, Tony

Blair, that "Al-Qaida and associated groups continued to

represent by far the greatest threat to Western interests, and

that threat would be heightened by military action against

Iraq. Any collapse of the Iraqi regime would increase the risk

of chemical and biological warfare technology or agents finding

their way into the hands of terrorists, including Al-Qaida."

Mr. Blair considered the warning -- according to a report by

the parliamentary Intelligence and Security Committee (ISC),

published on 11 September -- but finally decided that war was

the only option, because the fear of "the very thing you are

trying to avoid" left open the possibility that in time "this

developed into a nexus between terrorism and WMD in any event."

  ...(cut)...

---------------------------------------------

 

Intelligence, N. 427, 22 September 2003, p. 21

 

 

IRAQ

 

CORDESMAN'S CLEAR VISION OF QUAGMIRE

 

 

One of the best analyses of what's happening in Iraq was

recently published by Dr. Anthony H. Cordesman on 22 August in

"GulfWire Perspectives"

<http://www.arabialink.com/GulfWire/GWP_2003_08_22.htm> under

the title: "What is Next in Iraq? Military Developments,

Military Requirements and Armed Nation Building". According to

Cordesman, "In balance, the US forces and analysts most

involved (a) admit on background that they have no real numbers

and the situation is constantly evolving, (b) see some kind of

loose regional coordination but cannot identify its scale and

structure with any detail, (c) see the Iraqi threat as still

more pro-Saddam and Ba'athist than Islamic but note there is no

clear separation between the groups, (d) see a loose structure

of cooperation between diverse groups that do not share a

common agenda other than anger or hatred of the United States

and secular change, (e) see growing numbers of young Sunni

Iraqis entering the opposition as part of a postwar reaction to

the US failures in nation building, (f) do see outside

volunteers and speculate that 50-200 Al Ansar have returned,

and (g) see the numbers of serious hostile cadres involved as a

still very small but admit no meaningful numbers are possible."

  ...(cut)...

---------------------------------------------

 

 

AGENDA

 

 

Intelligence, N. 427, 22 September 2003, p. 9

 

 

COMING EVENTS THROUGH 1 NOVEMBER 2003

 

In the interest of efficiency, "Intelligence" lists all coming

events only once according to date, and they are not repeated

in subsequent issues. Past Agendas are available free at our

web site <http://www.blythe.org/Intelligence> and additional

information concerning these events is available at 33 (0)1 40

51 85 19 (tel/fax) or intelligence-adi@wanadoo.fr (email). Paid

advertisements describing an event in greater detail are sent

directly to more than two thousand Internet subscribers and

members of our free distribution list.

 

20-26 September, Atlanta, Georgia, Homeland Security Summit,

tel 1 404 261-3690.

 

21-25 September, Dayton, Ohio, Association of Old Crows (AOC),

40th annual meeting, http://www.crows.org.

 

24-26 September, Amsterdam, Crime Prevention & Security - Pro-

Active,

http://radburn.rutgers.edu/andrews/projects/ssit/istas.html.

 

1 October, proposals are due for the 13-15 May 2004

International Conference on Current Research Information

Systems (CRIS) to be held in Antwerp, Belgium,

http://www.eurocris.org.

 

2-3 October, Washington, Shephard, Night Vision USA,

http://www.nightvisionusa.com.

 

100406 Localizing the Internet: Ethical Issues in Intercultural

Perspective. International Center for Information Ethics.

October 4-6, 2004. Karlsruhe, Germany. For more information:

http://icie.zkm.de/congress2004 426*rv

 

8 October, Washington, Aviation Week, NetCentric Conference,

http://www.AviationNow.com.

 

8-9 October, Rome, New York, US Air Force Research Laboratory,

Cyber Operations Technology Conference, http://www.ndia.org.

 

16-17 October, Singapore, APCEM, Combating Terrorism - Military

and Non-Military Strategies, apcem@singnet.com.sg.

 

16-19 October, Toronto, Canada, Association of Internet

Researchers meeting.

 

19-22 October, Nimes, France, Infonortics, International

Chemical Information meeting, http://www.infonortics.com.

 

20 October, Ottawa, Canada, Riley, Security Laws and Privacy -

Striking the Balance, http://www.rileyis.com.

 

20-21 October, London, Shephard, Vision 2003,

http://www.vision2003.co.uk.

 

20-23 October, Long Beach, California, American Society for

Information Science meeting, http://www.asis.org/Conferences.

 

20-23 October, Dayton, Ohio, AFCEA, Info Tech 2003,

http://www.afcea.com.

 

21-22 October, Zurich, Switzerland, 8th Symposium on Privacy

and Security - Identity and Anonymity in an Increasingly

Interconnected World, http://www.privacy-security.ch.

 

21-22 London, Defence IQ, Interoperability 2003,

http://www.iqpc-defence.com.

 

27-30 October, King of Prussia, Pennsylvania, US Defense

Department, Maintenances Symposium, http://www.sae.org.

 

27-31 October, Carthage, Tunisia, Internet Corporation for

Assigned Names and Numbers (ICANN) Meeting,

http://www.icann.org/carthage.

 

28-30 October, Radisson, Florida, American Helicopter Society &

Army Aviation and Missile Command, Specialists Meeting on

Rotocraft Propulsion, fax 1 757 878 1323.

 

28-30 October, Adelaide, Australia, Land Warfare Conference.

 

28-29 October, Alexandria, Virginia, DSCA Worldwide Conference.

 

29 October, Maritime Security Expo USA.

 

29-31 October, Chicago, IAPP Privacy and Data Security Academy

and Expo, http://www.privacyassociation.org.

 

30 October-1 November, Anaheim, California, Airlift Tanker

Association meeting, participants are advised to not mention

the name "Airbus" during the proceedings.

 

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