INTELLIGENCE                                ISSN 1245-2122

N. 482, 3 July 2006

Every Two to Three Weeks

Next issue, 4 September 2006

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TABLE OF CONTENTS, N. 482, 3 July 2006

 

FRONT PAGE

 

ISRAEL/PALESTINE - WAR JUST IN TIME TO AVOID PEACE p.1

 

TECHNOLOGY AND TECHIQUES

 

TIMELINE FROM 9 JUNE TO 29 JUNE p.2

DEALING WITH PEACEFUL PROTEST & PANICKY SOLDIERS p.3

MEDIA BLACKOUT & DEMOCRACY'S RULERS AT BILDERBERG p.4

 

PEOPLE

 

GREAT BRITAIN - STEPHEN LANDER p.5

              - MICHAEL HOWARD p.6

ISRAEL - MENACHEM BEGIN p.7

 

AGENDA

 

COMING EVENTS THROUGH 7 OCTOBER 2006 p.8

 

INTELLIGENCE AROUND THE WORLD

 

USA - DEAD MEN'S "GOOD PR MOVE" AT GITMO p.9

    - PENTAGON GETS ITS OWN RESISTANCE MOVEMENT p.10

    - FBI TRIALS FAULTY & DHS CORRUPT p.11

    - CIA PRE-WAR INTELLIGENCE UNDER SCRUTINY p.12

    - US MILITARY CHARGED FOR SEVERAL IRAQI DEATHS p.13

    - MEDIA PARTICIPATION IN "WAR ON TERRORISM" p.14

USA/GREAT BRITAIN - RON SUSKIND'S SCARE STORIES p.15

                  - BRIT HONOURS FOR US IRAQ WAR "HEROS" p.16

USA - SNOOPGATE MOVES INTO THE BANKS p.17

    - BUSH WHITE HOUSE'S NUMEROUS "AFFAIRS" p.18

GREAT BRITAIN - PUBLIC INQUIRY INTO LONDON ATTACKS NEEDED p.19

              - LORD CARLISLE'S ANTI-TERROR REPORT p.20

              - SAUDI TORTURE VICTIMS DENIED RIGHT TO SUE p.21

NORTHERN IRELAND - COLD CASE PROBLEM FOR EX-FRU "FULTON" p.22

IRELAND - RENDITION FOR US SOLDIERS TOO p.23

NETHERLANDS - "MR. GUS" & EX-PRESIDENT TAYLOR BEHIND BARS p.24

WESTERN EUROPE - BRITAIN, ITALY, FRANCE & SPAIN p.25

RUSSIA - LAW FOR FSB TO OPERATE ABROAD p.26

CAUCASUS - NEW CHECHEN REBEL CHIEF & SPILL-OVER IN IRAQ p.27

EASTERN EUROPE - SERBIA, UKRAINE, BELARUS & RUSSIA p.28

LATIN AMERICA - Mexico & Venezuela. p.29

AFRICA - SOUTH AFRICA, SUDAN, SOMALIA & CAF p.30

IRAQ - CHOOSING BETWEEN JIHADISTS & IRAQI INSURGENTS p.31

IRAN - DIFFICULTY DEALING WITH A FRACTURED REGIME p.32

MIDDLE EAST - Turkey, Muslims, Al-Qaida & the West. p.33

AFGHANISTAN/PAKISTAN - WESTERN ANTI-TERROR FAILING p.34

NORTH KOREA - TESTING MISSILES & FOREIGN OPPOSITION p.35

ASIA - Indonesia, India, Nepal, Sri Lanka, Thailand. p.36

 

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Intelligence, N. 482, 3 July 2006, p. 1

 

 

ISRAEL/PALESTINE

 

WAR JUST IN TIME TO AVOID PEACE

 

 

On 10 June, the ruling Hamas group fired a barrage of homemade

rockets at Israel hours after calling off its 16-month cease-

fire with Israel in anger over an artillery attack that killed

seven civilians at the Huda Ghalia beach-side picnic in the

Gaza Strip (0610 NYT/AP, Hamas Fires Rockets at Israel After

Calling Off Truce, Steven Erlanger). The Palestinian reaction

to Huda Ghalia also caused serious internal troubles between

the Hamas government and Fatah security forces (0613 ERRI,

Hundreds of Palestinian Security Forces Go on Rampage).

 

Then, on 13 June, an Israeli missile strike in Gaza City killed

at least eight innocent bystanders (0613 Knight Ridder,

Israeli-Palestinian Conflict Threatens to Explode, Dion

Nissenbaum), pushing Israel and the Palestinians closer to open

warfare. Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas

denounced the attack as "state terror" and accused Israel of

trying to "wipe out the Palestinian people." Later, Israeli

Defense Minister Amir Peretz expressed his regrets that

civilians had been killed. The eight civilians included two

children and three medical workers and left another 32 wounded,

several in a serious condition, according to the Associated

Press.

 

The escalation of violence continued with three more

Palestinian children killed on 20 June by an Israeli missile

attack, the 25 June kidnapping of an Israeli soldier by

Palestinian militants, the following bombardment and invasion

of the Gaza Strip by the Israeli military, and the imprisonment

of most of the democratically-elected Hamas government. All of

this took place just as the Hamas was considering the

possibility of officially recognizing the state of Israel.

Since those responsible for such a change are now in Israeli

prisons, the subject has been moved to the back burner as war

continues.

(...cut...)

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Intelligence, N. 482, 3 July 2006, p. 2

 

 

TIMELINE FROM 9 JUNE TO 29 JUNE

 

 

On the international scene, the past three weeks have seen a

new major conflict develop between Israelis and Palestinians

which began with the death of Palestinian civilians on the Huda

Ghalia beach (0617 GUA, The Battle of Huda Ghalia - Who Really

Killed Girl's Family on Gaza Beach?), followed by Palestinians

kidnapping an Israeli soldier and the bombardment and invasion

of the Gaza Strip by the Israeli military.

 

That armed conflict has shared the headlines with the suicides

of three persons held captive by the US military at Guantanamo

and the incredible US military statement that "Killing

Themselves Was Unnecessary. But It Certainly Is a Good PR Move"

(0612 GUA). The Bush White House had to immediately and

seriously "back pedal" (0612 Knight Ridder, State Department

Tries to Distance Itself From Guantanamo Remark) and openly

consider, for the first time, closing "Gitmo" (0614 REU, Bush

Acknowledges Guantanamo Damages US Image).

 

These two topics have dominated security and intelligence news

over the past three weeks, but the Iraq war and, in particular,

the death of jihadist leader Zarqawi, continue in the

headlines: 0613 Truthout, The Death of al-Zarqawi; 0626 AP,

Bombs Kill At Least 40 in Two Iraqi Cities; 0628 Alternet, US

Waters Down Iraqi Peace Plan; 0628 AP, Iraq Insurgents Offer to

Stop Attacks. But the real Iraq news was in Washington where

the Republican-dominated Congress voted to continue the war

(0616 Progress Report, Little Substance in Shrill Iraq War

"Debate") and Republican Sen. Rick Santorum (PA), confronted

with a difficult re-election campaign, "discovered" the missing

Iraqi WMD (0622 Progress Report, Santorum Makes Wild Claims

About Having Found WMD in Iraq; 0623 WP, Democrats Criticize

Claim on Iraqi Arms).

 

The domestic US scene has also seen continued media reports

concerning the massacre of Iraqi civilians by the US military

(0621 LAT, Marines Missed "Red Flags," Study Finds), to which a

new subject of Pentagon "worse than the normal bad news" has

been added: refusal of orders to serve in Iraq (0612 The

Nation, Lieutenant Watada's War Against the War; 0614 Truthout,

Editor's Note - Sara Rich is the mother of an AWOL US soldier;

0615 Seattle Post-Intelligencer, Troops Refusing Iraq Duty Get

a Haven; 0629 Truthout, Statement in Support of First

Lieutenant Ehren Watada).

 

These Pentagon woes run parallel to increasing woes for US

intelligence and specifically the CIA (0614 National Security

Policy E-News, No Mere Oversight - The Role of Congress in

Effective Intelligence; Terrorism Index - The Center for

American Progress Terrorism Index seeks for the first time to

mine the highest echelons of the US national security

establishment across the ideological spectrum for their

insights on the war on terrorism; 0625 WP, Warnings on WMD

"Fabricator" Were Ignored, Ex-CIA Aide Says; 0626 National

Security Policy E-News, Joseph Cirincione Congressional

Testimony on Pre-War Intelligence). But perhaps the best "sum

up" of the CIA's situation was given by new CIA director and

former NSA director Hayden (0628 Progress Report, Iraq - Hayden

Yields to Pressure to Change His Opinion on Feith's

Manipulation of Intel) and his two statements (0628 Progress

Report, Daily Grill): "No, sir, I wasn't. And I wasn't aware of

a lot of the activity going on, you know, when it was

contemporaneous with running up to the war. No, sir, I wasn't

comfortable" (Hayden, on 18 May 2006, specifically criticizing

Under Secretary of Defense Douglas Feith's role in the

manipulation of intelligence); versus "My comments about

'wrong,' 'inaccurate,' and 'misleading' were attached to a

broader discussion of analytic challenges and not to any

specific activities, including those under Mr. Feith" (Hayden,

on 27 June 2006, reversing his criticism of Feith). CIA

"intelligence" and "impartiality" will have a hard time

recovering from that.

 

At the FBI, things are only slightly better, but all its

headline "terrorism" cases are being looked at hard by judges

and the media and found wanting (0621 AP, Judge Seeks More

Evidence in Padilla Case; 0623 Knight Ridder, Indictment of

Suspected Terrorists [Florida seven] Contains Little Evidence

of Plot; 0626 New Standard, Three Years On, Lone "Enemy

Combatant" [Ali Saleh Kahlah Al-Marri] Lingers on US Soil.

 

And at the very heart of the domestic scene, the "hard" heart

of the Bush White House, there is increasing attention to the

role played by Richard Cheney (0627 Truthout, Vice President

Cheney, Chef in Chief).

 

These "secondary topics" should also include the Iranian

nuclear program and difficulties in dealing with that Islamic

country (0625 WP, Inside Iran's Fractured Regime), and North

Korea and its arms program which, with the Bush White House's

anti-missile program, were the subject of a thought-provoking

metaphor by Dennis Jett (0628 Anniston Star, Missile

Dysfunction): "For two countries that are edging toward

confrontation, the United States and North Korea have a lot in

common ... For instance, both have missile systems that don't

work. But that's OK, since both have deployed them for

political reasons and not military ones." They also have in

common that they may be shooting their missiles at each other.

 

Our current policy is to publish headline listings in this

timeline article under the "Major Events and Reports" section

consisting of about one hundred of the more significant entries

which are listed with few additional details other than date

and source. Our complete list of daily entries with references

and full details is integrated into topical articles. These

detailed daily entries are distributed throughout the issue

and, in some cases, organized as articles when media reports

cover a specific topic well.

 

MAJOR EVENTS AND REPORTS

(...cut...)

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AGENDA

 

 

Intelligence, N. 482, 3 July 2006, p. 8

 

 

COMING EVENTS THROUGH 7 OCTOBER 2006

 

 

5 July, deadline for papers for Identity and Identification in

a Networked World, New York University, 29-30 September 2006,

easst.net/node/976.

 

16-21 July, Quebec, Canada, 23rd International Biometric

Conference, tibs.org.

 

18-23 July, Farnborough, England, Farnborough Air Show.

 

19-22 July, New Orleans, Airborne Law Enforcement Association,

36th Annual Conference,

alea.org/public/seminars/annual_conference/toe.htm.

 

25-26 July, San Diego, California, Precision Strike PEO Forum,

precisoinstrike.org.

 

1 August, deadline for proposals for the Conference on

Intelligence in the Vietnam War, at Lubbock, Texas, by the

Vietnam Center, Texas Tech University, and by the Center for

the Study of Intelligence (CSI), on 20-21 October 2006,

steve.maxner@ttu.edu or vietnam.ttu.edu/vietnamcenter/events/

2006_Intel_Conference/CallforPapers.htm.

 

29-31 August, Orlando, Florida, AUVSI 2006.

 

12-14 September, Quantico, Virginia, Modern Day Marine.

 

12-14 September, New York, Reed Exhibitions, Infosecurity New

York, infosecurityevent.com.

 

13-14 September, Brussels, 2006 European Air & Port Security

Expo, aps-expo.com.

 

18-20 September, Hamburg, Germany, 11th European Symposium On

Research In Computer Security, esorics06.tu-harburg.de/.

 

18-21 September, Schloss Dagstuhl, Germany, 2006 New Security

Paradigms Workshop, nspw.org.

 

19-21 September, Nellis Air Force Base, Nevada, Joint Aircraft

Survivability Program - Joint Program Review.

 

21-22 September, Madrid, Spain, Lockheed Martin, Maritime

Reconnaissance & Surveillance 2006, defenceiq.com/2739a.

 

26-29 September, Gdansk, Poland, 25th International Conference

on Computer Safety, Reliability and Security,

kio.pg.gda.pl/safecomp2006.

 

29-30 September, New York, New York University, Identity and

Identification in a Networked World, easst.net/node/976.

 

29 September-1 October, Arlington, Virginia, 34th Research

Conference on Communication, Information, and Internet Policy,

tprc.org/TPRC06/2006.htm.

 

4-7 October, New Rochelle, New York, International Information

Management Association 17th Annual Conference, Triple

Convergence - Information, Innovation, Technology, iima.org/.

 

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Intelligence, N. 482, 3 July 2006, p. 9

 

 

USA

 

DEAD MEN'S "GOOD PR MOVE" AT GITMO

 

 

On 11 June, the commander of the Guantanamo Bay military

detention center stated that three detainees had hang

themselves with nooses made of sheets and clothes (0611 ERRI,

Three Suicides Reported at Detention Facility). Military

officials said the suicides were coordinated acts of protests,

but human rights activists and defense attorneys said the

deaths signaled the desperation of many of the detainees held -

- usually for years -- on only suspicion of links to al-Qaida

and the Taliban. Out of the 460 persons detained, only ten have

been charged with crimes and many have been released after

years of detention.

 

Things were already bad at "Gitmo" when Navy Rear Adm. Harry

Harris stated he and the US military were the "victims" and not

the dead detainees: "They have no regard for human life ...

Neither ours nor their own. I believe this was not an act of

desperation but an act of asymmetric warfare against us." The

"good PR move" by dead men became the Bush White House

leitmotif (0612 GUA, "Killing Themselves Was Unnecessary. But

It Certainly Is a Good PR Move" - Bush officials' hard line

provokes condemnation, US ally admits prison is hampering war

on terror, Suzanne Goldenberg and Hugh Muir). Colleen Graffy,

the deputy assistant secretary of state for public diplomacy,

whose job involves improving US public relations, especially in

the Muslim world, commented, in a 11 June BBC interview, that

the three suicides were "a good PR move to draw attention". She

called the suicides "a tactic to further the jihadi cause."

(...cut...)

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Intelligence, N. 482, 3 July 2006, p. 10

 

 

USA

 

PENTAGON GETS ITS OWN RESISTANCE MOVEMENT

 

 

The "worse than normal bad news" at the Pentagon has been

enriched with a new subject matter: officers and soldiers who

refuse to serve in Iraq (0612 The Nation, Lieutenant Watada's

War Against the War, Jeremy Brecher and Brendan Smith): "In a

remarkable protest from inside the ranks of the military, First

Lieut. Ehren Watada has become the Army's first commissioned

officer to publicly refuse orders to fight in Iraq on grounds

that the war is illegal. The 28-year-old announced his decision

not to obey orders to deploy to Iraq in a video press

conference June 7, saying, 'My participation would make me

party to war crimes'." While ongoing media coverage of the

protest debates whether Watada's action is one of cowardice or

conscience, so far the seriousness of his legal claims have

been largely ignored and Watada's position is different from

that of conscientious objectors, who oppose all wars.

(...cut...)

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Intelligence, N. 482, 3 July 2006, p. 11

 

 

USA

 

FBI TRIALS FAULTY & DHS CORRUPT

 

 

The FBI made the headlines on 12 June with the publication of

its crime statistics (0612 ERRI, Violent Crime Up, 1st Time In

5 Years, FBI - Murder Up 4.8%, Largest Increase In 15 Years,

Crime Overall Up 2.5%; 0612 Progress Report, Violent Crime

Rates Show Largest Increase Since 1993). But the real FBI news

was more "spread out" and concerns the failing performance of

the Bureau in court with nearly all of its showcase "terrorism"

cases (0621 AP, Judge Seeks More Evidence in Padilla Case, Curt

Anderson): "A federal judge ordered prosecutors to turn over

more evidence to back up allegations that Jose Padilla and two

co-defendants conspired to kill, injure or kidnap people

overseas as part of a global Islamic terrorist network." See

also: 0621 Truthout, Judge - Case Against Padilla "Very Light

on Facts".

(...cut...)

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Intelligence, N. 482, 3 July 2006, p. 19

 

 

GREAT BRITAIN

 

PUBLIC INQUIRY INTO LONDON ATTACKS NEEDED

 

 

One year after the 7 July 2005 London bombings, the British

government is still rejecting calls for an independent public

inquiry demanded by relatives of the victims and opposition

MPs. They want to know what MI5 and the Metropolitan Police

knew about the suicide cell before the attacks. Fresh claims,

from credible sources, suggest the police and intelligence

analysts may have missed information that could have

"influenced" the course of events prior to the carnage.

(...cut...)

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