INTELLIGENCE                                ISSN 1245-2122

N. 486, 23 October 2006

Every Two to Three Weeks

Next issue, 13 November 2006

Publishing since 1980

 

Editor

Olivier Schmidt

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TABLE OF CONTENTS, N. 486, 23 October 2006

 

FRONT PAGE

 

USA - "CONNECTING THE DOTS" MYTH DESTROYED p.1

 

TECHNOLOGY AND TECHNIQUES

 

TIMELINE FROM 29 SEPTEMBER TO 19 OCTOBER p.2

FINDING SUBVERSIVES WITH COMPUTERIZED TEXT ANALYSIS p.3

SHOCK AND AWE" IN WESTERN EUROPE p.4

TRYING TO DEAL WITH THE MARITIME WMD THREAT p.5

FLAT-PACK" WEAPONS BEAT EMBARGOS p.6

BOOKS - Stealth Satellites, Nazis & US Intelligence. p.7

 

PEOPLE

 

USA - COLIN L. POWELL p.8

    - SUSAN RALSTON p.9

ISRAEL - TAL RUSSO p.10

INDONESIA - MUNIR SAID THALIB p.11

 

AGENDA

 

COMING EVENTS THROUGH 15 DECEMBER 2006 p.12

 

INTELLIGENCE AROUND THE WORLD

 

USA - FOLEY CASE GOES STRAIGHT TO BUSH WHITE HOUSE p.13

    - TORTURE AS BUSH WHITE HOUSE "LIFESAVER" p.14

    - MICHAEL SCHEUER ON IRAQ NIE & OTHER CIA NEWS p.15

    - BUSH ROLLS THE "HOLY ROLLERS" p.16

    - "SNOOPGATE" GOES ON TO ELECTIONS p.17

    - OTHER BUSH CORRUPTION, LIES & SCANDALS p.18

    - OPPOSITION IN DOD TO IRAQ WAR GROWS p.19

    - POLITICS & OTHER NEWS p.20

    - FBI & INTERNAL SECURITY NEWS p.21

GREAT BRITAIN - NEW COUNTER-TERRORISM COMMAND p.22

              - RACIST WMD NOT "NEWSWORTHY" LIKE MUSLIMS p.23

              - ITN JOURNALIST MURDERED BY US MARINES p.24

NORTHERN IRELAND - SECRET FILES DESCRIBE COLLUSION p.25

                 - IMC REPORT FINALLY FACES REALITY p.26

WESTERN EUROPE - CIA'S EU-WIDE EAVESDROPPING NETWORK p.27

               - FRANCE, NETHERLANDS & GREAT BRITAIN p.28

RUSSIA - MURDER IN MOSCOW p.29

GEORGIA - DOING NATO'S BIDDING CAN CAUSE TROUBLE p.30

ARGENTINA - Disappearance & Death Squad Resurgence? p.31

ISRAEL/PALESTINE/LEBANON - Thousand Rockets, 3 Drones. p.32

IRAQ - "LANCET" DEATH COUNT MAKES THE NEWS p.33

IRAN - THE OTHER NUCLEAR STANDOFF p.34

AFGHANISTAN - PRIVATIZING THE COALITION MISSION p.35

            - WINNING "HEARTS & MINDS" WITH AIR STRIKES p.36

NORTH KOREA - NUCLEAR TEST NEWS p.37

ASIA - India, Pakistan & Sri Lanka. p.38

 

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FRONT PAGE

 

 

Intelligence, N. 486, 23 October 2006, p. 1

 

 

USA

 

"CONNECTING THE DOTS" MYTH DESTROYED

 

 

In explaining away its failure in Iraq and its lack of

responsibility in protecting the United States against a Qaida

attack, the Bush White House has tried several ploys. In the

case of the non-existent WMD in Iraq, it was that "everyone was

mistaken" when, in reality, only the Bush White House and

Britain's Tony Blair were stating that such weapons existed.

The rest of the world, including all United Nations experts,

were stating exactly the opposite, but the Bush White House and

its sidekicks, particularly in the major media, claimed to have

solid proof that Iraq had WMD. We no longer hear the "everyone

was mistaken" ploy, but the "no one connected the dots" ploy

for explaining away the 11 September 2001 attack failure has

still been around. Now it is dead too.

(...cut...)

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Intelligence, N. 486, 23 October 2006, p. 2

 

 

TIMELINE FROM 29 SEPTEMBER TO 19 OCTOBER

 

 

Obviously the most prominent headlines of the past three weeks

concerned the North Korean nuclear bomb test, but, in terms of

news that may seriously change the current situation, the prize

should probably go to two US "domestic" developments: the Rep.

Mark Foley (R-FL) sex scandal and the direct implication of the

Republican political leadership; and the publication of Robert

Woodward's book, "State of Denial", and its political

implications that the Bush White House was clearly warned of an

impending Qaida attack and did nothing (the subject of this

issue's Front Page article). In short, the destruction of the

"connecting the dots" myth that no one foresaw the 11 September

2001 Qaida attacks. These two developments will very likely

have a direct impact on the November US Congressional

elections, but it is far from evident that the American

electorate with remove the Republicans from positions of power

in Washington and replace them with Democrats. There is even a

question of the reliability of the US electoral system itself.

(...cut...)

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AGENDA

 

Intelligence, N. 486, 23 October 2006, p. 12

 

 

COMING EVENTS THROUGH 15 DECEMBER 2006

 

 

20 October-1 November, Oshawa, Ontario, University of Ontario

Institute of Technology, International Conference on Privacy,

Security, and Trust (PST 2006), businessandit.uoit.ca/pst2006/.

 

22-25 October, Nimes, France, Infonortics, International

Conference for Science & Business Information, infonortics.com.

 

23-26 October, Panama City Beach, Florida, NDIA 11th Annual

Expeditionary Warfare Conference, ndia.org.

 

23-27 October, Paris Le Bourget, Euronaval 2006.

 

24 October, Arlington, Virginia, First Annual FAR/DFARS Review.

 

24-27 October, Willamsburg, Virginia, AHA & AAAA, Helicopter

Military Operations (HELIMOT) Specialists' Meeting XII.

 

28 October, in Virginia, US Commission on Military History

annual meeting with lecture speaker Tom Ricks, author of

"Fiasco: The American Military Adventure in Iraq",

pat.harahan@dtra.mil.

 

30 October-1 November, Panama City Beach, Florida, NDIA's 44th

Annual Targets, UAVs & Range Operations meeting, ndia.org.

 

30 October-2 November, Athens, Greece, Internet Governance

Forum (IGF), igfgreece2006.gr/.

 

31 October-5 November, Zhuhai, China, Airshow China 2006,

airshow.com.cn.

 

1 November, deadline for papers for the 22nd IFIP TC-11

International Information Security Conference on 14-16 May 2007

in Sandton, South Africa, sbs.co.za/ifipsec2007.

 

1 November, deadline for papers for 22-23 August 2007 First

Biennial Conference of Air Power Studies, Air Power, Insurgency

and the "War on Terror", at Kings College, London, and at the

Royal Air Force College, RAFC Cranwell, Lincolnshire, jhayward-

kcl@cranwell.raf.mod.uk.

 

1-2 November, Crystal City, Virginia, Sixth Annual C4ISR

Integration Conference, jhanson@atpoc.com.

 

2-3 November, London, 28th International Data Protection and

Privacy Commissioners' Conference,

privacyconference2006.co.uk/.

 

5-8 November, Washington, Association of Old Cross, AOC 2006.

 

5-9 November, Nellis Air Force Base, Nevada, National

Geospatial-Intelligence Agency, First Combined NSG Systems

User's Conference.

 

8-10 November, Nice, France, Eight European Forum on Economic

Intelligence, Watch and Innovation, veille2006@aaaf.asso.fr.

 

11-12 November, Nellis Air Force Base, Nevada, Aviation Nation

- America's Airshow, amanda@aviationnation.org.

 

14-16 November, Monterey, California, US Naval Postgraduate

School, AIAA Missile Sciences Conference,

aiaa.org/events/missilesciences.

 

15-17 November, San Antonio, Texas, Airborne Law Enforcement

Association, Central Region Safety Seminar, alea.org.

 

27-30 November, Nashville, Tennessee, Defense Manufacturing

Conference, dmc.utcdayton.com or meetings@utcdayton.com.

 

27-30 November, Orlando, Florida, 25th Army Science Conference,

asc2006.com.

 

4-7 December, Orlando, Florida, I/ITSEC 2006.

 

5-6 December, London, First Annual Counter-Terror World Summit

- Building a Secure World, with sessions on aviation and

airport security, maritime and supply chain security, event and

infrastructure security, and presentations by Frank Gardner

(BBC), Sir Richard Mottram (Permanent Secretary, Cabinet Office

on UK Counter Terror Policy), Lord Carlile of Berriew (QC),

Paul Wilkinson (University of St. Andrews), Jack Caravelli

(former White House National Security), Assistant Commissioner

Tarique Ghaffur (Metropolitan Police). Contact

counterterrorworld.com/conf or jmayer@ibeltd.com.

 

11-15 December, Miami Beach, Florida, 22nd Annual Computer

Security Applications Conference (ACSAC 2006),

http://www.acsac.org.

 

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Intelligence, N. 486, 23 October 2006, p. 13

 

 

USA

 

FOLEY CASE GOES STRAIGHT TO BUSH WHITE HOUSE

 

 

The details of Rep. Mark Foley's (R-FL) illegal relationships

with unaged Congressional pages has been widely publicized in

the major press and need not be rehashed here in

"Intelligence". The more serious question is the role GOP

leadership played -- or did not play -- in correcting Foley's

situation before it may headlines. As journalist Cenk Uygur put

it (1002 Alternet/HuffingtonPost.com, Putting Party Before

Predators - Why Didn't GOP Leaders Stop Foley?): "In a scandal

that will likely take down the entire House Republican

leadership, everyone is wondering why Rep. Mark Foley, Chairman

of the Missing and Exploited Children's Caucus, was allowed to

carry on his predatory behavior with a teenage boy a year after

his relationship was revealed to party leaders."

(...cut...)

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Intelligence, N. 486, 23 October 2006, p. 16

 

 

USA

 

BUSH ROLLS THE "HOLY ROLLERS"

 

 

The association between the GOP and the "Religious Right", the

"Evangelicals", the "Holy Rollers", or simply fundamentalist

Protestant groups has been considered an established fact of US

political life for decades. The Iraq War and innumerable other

Bush White House scandals involving corruption, lying, sex and

lobbying have worn away those ties. Now there are news reports

that the Bush White House has simply been using the

fundamentalists as another political expedient. In short,

"rolling the holy rollers" for political gain:

(...cut...)

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Intelligence, N. 486, 23 October 2006, p. 22

 

 

GREAT BRITAIN

 

NEW COUNTER-TERRORISM COMMAND

 

 

The Scotland Yard Special Branch (SO12) and the Metropolitan

Police Anti-Terrorist Unit (SO13) have been merged to form the

Counter-Terrorism Command (SO15), according to a 3 October

announcement in London. The new unit, with 1,500 officers and

support staff in London, three regional branches and

representatives abroad in Europe and the US, will be headed by

the Met's Deputy Assistant Commissioner, Peter Clarke, who is

currently the National Co-ordinator of Terrorism Investigations

(NCTI).

(...cut...)

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Intelligence, N. 486, 23 October 2006, p. 27

 

 

WESTERN EUROPE

 

CIA'S EU-WIDE EAVESDROPPING NETWORK

 

 

The US National Security Agency's worldwide Echelon

eavesdropping system was in the news a long time before the

Bush White House declared its "war on terror" and started using

complicit Western Europe nations and their intelligence

services to kidnap, secretly detain and transport suspects.

Bush White House collaborators included the conservative

governments of Italy and Greece, and pro-American intelligence

services in Belgium and Germany.

(...cut...)

---------------------------------------------

 

Intelligence, N. 486, 23 October 2006, p. 33

 

 

IRAQ

 

"LANCET" DEATH COUNT MAKES THE NEWS

 

 

On 11 October, the media got access to the "Lancet" article,

"Mortality after the 2003 invasion of Iraq: A cross-sectional

cluster sample survey", also titled "The Human Cost of the War

in Iraq - A Mortality Study, 2002-2006", by Gilbert Burnham,

Shannon Doocy, Elizabeth Dzeng, Riyadh Lafta and Les Roberts.

According to the "Washington Post" (1011 WP, Study Claims

Iraq's "Excess" Death Toll Has Reached 655,000, David Brown):

"A team of American and Iraqi epidemiologists estimates that

655,000 more people have died in Iraq since coalition forces

arrived in March 2003 than would have died if the invasion had

not occurred. The estimate, produced by interviewing residents

during a random sampling of households throughout the country,

is far higher than ones produced by other groups, including

Iraq's government. It is more than 20 times the estimate of

30,000 civilian deaths that President Bush gave in a speech in

December. It is more than 10 times the estimate of roughly

50,000 civilian deaths made by the British-based Iraq Body

Count research group."

(...cut...)

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