INTELLIGENCE ISSN 1245-2122
N. 486, 23 October 2006
Every Two to Three Weeks
Next issue, 13 November 2006
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TABLE OF CONTENTS, N. 486, 23 October 2006
USA - "CONNECTING THE DOTS" MYTH DESTROYED p.1
TECHNOLOGY AND TECHNIQUES
TIMELINE FROM 29 SEPTEMBER TO 19 OCTOBER p.2
FINDING SUBVERSIVES WITH COMPUTERIZED TEXT ANALYSIS p.3
SHOCK AND AWE" IN WESTERN EUROPE p.4
TRYING TO DEAL WITH THE MARITIME WMD THREAT p.5
FLAT-PACK" WEAPONS BEAT EMBARGOS p.6
BOOKS - Stealth Satellites, Nazis & US Intelligence. p.7
USA - COLIN L. POWELL p.8
- SUSAN RALSTON p.9
ISRAEL - TAL RUSSO p.10
INDONESIA - MUNIR SAID THALIB p.11
COMING EVENTS THROUGH 15 DECEMBER 2006 p.12
INTELLIGENCE AROUND THE WORLD
USA - FOLEY CASE GOES STRAIGHT TO BUSH WHITE HOUSE p.13
- TORTURE AS BUSH WHITE HOUSE "LIFESAVER" p.14
- MICHAEL SCHEUER ON IRAQ NIE & OTHER CIA NEWS p.15
- BUSH ROLLS THE "HOLY ROLLERS" p.16
- "SNOOPGATE" GOES ON TO ELECTIONS p.17
- OTHER BUSH CORRUPTION, LIES & SCANDALS p.18
- OPPOSITION IN DOD TO IRAQ WAR GROWS p.19
- POLITICS & OTHER NEWS p.20
- FBI & INTERNAL SECURITY NEWS p.21
GREAT BRITAIN - NEW COUNTER-TERRORISM COMMAND p.22
- RACIST WMD NOT "NEWSWORTHY" LIKE MUSLIMS p.23
- ITN JOURNALIST MURDERED BY US MARINES p.24
NORTHERN IRELAND - SECRET FILES DESCRIBE COLLUSION p.25
- IMC REPORT FINALLY FACES REALITY p.26
WESTERN EUROPE - CIA'S EU-WIDE EAVESDROPPING NETWORK p.27
- FRANCE, NETHERLANDS & GREAT BRITAIN p.28
RUSSIA - MURDER IN MOSCOW p.29
GEORGIA - DOING NATO'S BIDDING CAN CAUSE TROUBLE p.30
ARGENTINA - Disappearance & Death Squad Resurgence? p.31
ISRAEL/PALESTINE/LEBANON - Thousand Rockets, 3 Drones. p.32
IRAQ - "LANCET" DEATH COUNT MAKES THE NEWS p.33
IRAN - THE OTHER NUCLEAR STANDOFF p.34
AFGHANISTAN - PRIVATIZING THE COALITION MISSION p.35
- WINNING "HEARTS & MINDS" WITH AIR STRIKES p.36
NORTH KOREA - NUCLEAR TEST NEWS p.37
ASIA - India, Pakistan & Sri Lanka. p.38
Intelligence, N. 486, 23 October 2006, p. 1
"CONNECTING THE DOTS" MYTH DESTROYED
In explaining away its failure in Iraq and its lack of
responsibility in protecting the United States against a Qaida
attack, the Bush White House has tried several ploys. In the
case of the non-existent WMD in Iraq, it was that "everyone was
mistaken" when, in reality, only the Bush White House and
Britain's Tony Blair were stating that such weapons existed.
The rest of the world, including all United Nations experts,
were stating exactly the opposite, but the Bush White House and
its sidekicks, particularly in the major media, claimed to have
solid proof that Iraq had WMD. We no longer hear the "everyone
was mistaken" ploy, but the "no one connected the dots" ploy
for explaining away the 11 September 2001 attack failure has
still been around. Now it is dead too.
Intelligence, N. 486, 23 October 2006, p. 2
TIMELINE FROM 29 SEPTEMBER TO 19 OCTOBER
Obviously the most prominent headlines of the past three weeks
concerned the North Korean nuclear bomb test, but, in terms of
news that may seriously change the current situation, the prize
should probably go to two US "domestic" developments: the Rep.
Mark Foley (R-FL) sex scandal and the direct implication of the
Republican political leadership; and the publication of Robert
Woodward's book, "State of Denial", and its political
implications that the Bush White House was clearly warned of an
impending Qaida attack and did nothing (the subject of this
issue's Front Page article). In short, the destruction of the
"connecting the dots" myth that no one foresaw the 11 September
2001 Qaida attacks. These two developments will very likely
have a direct impact on the November US Congressional
elections, but it is far from evident that the American
electorate with remove the Republicans from positions of power
in Washington and replace them with Democrats. There is even a
question of the reliability of the US electoral system itself.
Intelligence, N. 486, 23 October 2006, p. 12
COMING EVENTS THROUGH 15 DECEMBER 2006
20 October-1 November, Oshawa, Ontario, University of Ontario
Institute of Technology, International Conference on Privacy,
Security, and Trust (PST 2006), businessandit.uoit.ca/pst2006/.
22-25 October, Nimes, France, Infonortics, International
Conference for Science & Business Information, infonortics.com.
23-26 October, Panama City Beach, Florida, NDIA 11th Annual
Expeditionary Warfare Conference, ndia.org.
23-27 October, Paris Le Bourget, Euronaval 2006.
24 October, Arlington, Virginia, First Annual FAR/DFARS Review.
24-27 October, Willamsburg, Virginia, AHA & AAAA, Helicopter
Military Operations (HELIMOT) Specialists' Meeting XII.
28 October, in Virginia, US Commission on Military History
annual meeting with lecture speaker Tom Ricks, author of
"Fiasco: The American Military Adventure in Iraq",
30 October-1 November, Panama City Beach, Florida, NDIA's 44th
Annual Targets, UAVs & Range Operations meeting, ndia.org.
30 October-2 November, Athens, Greece, Internet Governance
Forum (IGF), igfgreece2006.gr/.
31 October-5 November, Zhuhai, China, Airshow China 2006,
1 November, deadline for papers for the 22nd IFIP TC-11
International Information Security Conference on 14-16 May 2007
in Sandton, South Africa, sbs.co.za/ifipsec2007.
1 November, deadline for papers for 22-23 August 2007 First
Biennial Conference of Air Power Studies, Air Power, Insurgency
and the "War on Terror", at Kings College, London, and at the
Royal Air Force College, RAFC Cranwell, Lincolnshire, jhayward-
1-2 November, Crystal City, Virginia, Sixth Annual C4ISR
Integration Conference, firstname.lastname@example.org.
2-3 November, London, 28th International Data Protection and
Privacy Commissioners' Conference,
5-8 November, Washington, Association of Old Cross, AOC 2006.
5-9 November, Nellis Air Force Base, Nevada, National
Geospatial-Intelligence Agency, First Combined NSG Systems
8-10 November, Nice, France, Eight European Forum on Economic
Intelligence, Watch and Innovation, email@example.com.
11-12 November, Nellis Air Force Base, Nevada, Aviation Nation
- America's Airshow, firstname.lastname@example.org.
14-16 November, Monterey, California, US Naval Postgraduate
School, AIAA Missile Sciences Conference,
15-17 November, San Antonio, Texas, Airborne Law Enforcement
Association, Central Region Safety Seminar, alea.org.
27-30 November, Nashville, Tennessee, Defense Manufacturing
Conference, dmc.utcdayton.com or email@example.com.
27-30 November, Orlando, Florida, 25th Army Science Conference,
4-7 December, Orlando, Florida, I/ITSEC 2006.
5-6 December, London, First Annual Counter-Terror World Summit
- Building a Secure World, with sessions on aviation and
airport security, maritime and supply chain security, event and
infrastructure security, and presentations by Frank Gardner
(BBC), Sir Richard Mottram (Permanent Secretary, Cabinet Office
on UK Counter Terror Policy), Lord Carlile of Berriew (QC),
Paul Wilkinson (University of St. Andrews), Jack Caravelli
(former White House National Security), Assistant Commissioner
Tarique Ghaffur (Metropolitan Police). Contact
counterterrorworld.com/conf or firstname.lastname@example.org.
11-15 December, Miami Beach, Florida, 22nd Annual Computer
Security Applications Conference (ACSAC 2006),
Intelligence, N. 486, 23 October 2006, p. 13
FOLEY CASE GOES STRAIGHT TO BUSH WHITE HOUSE
The details of Rep. Mark Foley's (R-FL) illegal relationships
with unaged Congressional pages has been widely publicized in
the major press and need not be rehashed here in
"Intelligence". The more serious question is the role GOP
leadership played -- or did not play -- in correcting Foley's
situation before it may headlines. As journalist Cenk Uygur put
it (1002 Alternet/HuffingtonPost.com, Putting Party Before
Predators - Why Didn't GOP Leaders Stop Foley?): "In a scandal
that will likely take down the entire House Republican
leadership, everyone is wondering why Rep. Mark Foley, Chairman
of the Missing and Exploited Children's Caucus, was allowed to
carry on his predatory behavior with a teenage boy a year after
his relationship was revealed to party leaders."
Intelligence, N. 486, 23 October 2006, p. 16
BUSH ROLLS THE "HOLY ROLLERS"
The association between the GOP and the "Religious Right", the
"Evangelicals", the "Holy Rollers", or simply fundamentalist
Protestant groups has been considered an established fact of US
political life for decades. The Iraq War and innumerable other
Bush White House scandals involving corruption, lying, sex and
lobbying have worn away those ties. Now there are news reports
that the Bush White House has simply been using the
fundamentalists as another political expedient. In short,
"rolling the holy rollers" for political gain:
Intelligence, N. 486, 23 October 2006, p. 22
NEW COUNTER-TERRORISM COMMAND
The Scotland Yard Special Branch (SO12) and the Metropolitan
Police Anti-Terrorist Unit (SO13) have been merged to form the
Counter-Terrorism Command (SO15), according to a 3 October
announcement in London. The new unit, with 1,500 officers and
support staff in London, three regional branches and
representatives abroad in Europe and the US, will be headed by
the Met's Deputy Assistant Commissioner, Peter Clarke, who is
currently the National Co-ordinator of Terrorism Investigations
Intelligence, N. 486, 23 October 2006, p. 27
CIA'S EU-WIDE EAVESDROPPING NETWORK
The US National Security Agency's worldwide Echelon
eavesdropping system was in the news a long time before the
Bush White House declared its "war on terror" and started using
complicit Western Europe nations and their intelligence
services to kidnap, secretly detain and transport suspects.
Bush White House collaborators included the conservative
governments of Italy and Greece, and pro-American intelligence
services in Belgium and Germany.
Intelligence, N. 486, 23 October 2006, p. 33
"LANCET" DEATH COUNT MAKES THE NEWS
On 11 October, the media got access to the "Lancet" article,
"Mortality after the 2003 invasion of Iraq: A cross-sectional
cluster sample survey", also titled "The Human Cost of the War
in Iraq - A Mortality Study, 2002-2006", by Gilbert Burnham,
Shannon Doocy, Elizabeth Dzeng, Riyadh Lafta and Les Roberts.
According to the "Washington Post" (1011 WP, Study Claims
Iraq's "Excess" Death Toll Has Reached 655,000, David Brown):
"A team of American and Iraqi epidemiologists estimates that
655,000 more people have died in Iraq since coalition forces
arrived in March 2003 than would have died if the invasion had
not occurred. The estimate, produced by interviewing residents
during a random sampling of households throughout the country,
is far higher than ones produced by other groups, including
Iraq's government. It is more than 20 times the estimate of
30,000 civilian deaths that President Bush gave in a speech in
December. It is more than 10 times the estimate of roughly
50,000 civilian deaths made by the British-based Iraq Body
Count research group."
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