INTELLIGENCE                                ISSN 1245-2122

N. 487, 13 November 2006

Every Two to Three Weeks

Next issue, 4 December 2006

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TABLE OF CONTENTS, N. 487, 13 November 2006

 

FRONT PAGE

 

USA - GOP "FAMILY VALUES" GANG IN THE CESSPOOL p.1

 

TECHNOLOGY AND TECHNIQUES

 

TIMELINE FROM 20 OCTOBER TO 10 NOVEMBER p.2

COUNTER-INSURGENCY AS SYSTEMATIC "BIG PICTURE" FAILURE p.3

AUSSIE-NSA HIGH-TECH SEARCH FOR BALI BOMBERS p.4

ALMOST SUCCESSFUL CONFLICT RESOLUTION TECHNIQUES FOR IRAQ p.5

 

PEOPLE

 

USA - ROBERT M. GATES p.6

GREAT BRITAIN - DAVID REDDAWAY p.7

NORTHERN IRELAND - PETER KEELEY p.8

 

AGENDA

 

COMING EVENTS THROUGH 15 JANUARY 2007 p.9

 

INTELLIGENCE AROUND THE WORLD

 

USA - ANTI-BUSH STAMPEDE & ITS FALLOUT p.10

    - NOT YOUR USUAL PROBLEMS WITH TORTURE p.11

    - RUMMY'S SHOCK TROOPS FIGHT THE MEDIA p.12

    - INTERNAL SECURITY & FBI NEWS p.13

    - CIA HUMINT Problems & Intellipedia. p.14

    - Libby's "Plamegate" Case Starts Badly. p.15

GREAT BRITAIN - MI6 USED CIVILIAN FLIGHT TO KUWAIT p.16

              - MI6 ORIGINALLY OPPOSED IRAQ INVASION p.17

              - CORRUPTION FUELED AL YAMAMAH ARMS DEAL p.18

NORTHERN IRELAND - PROVOS WON IN "BANDIT COUNTRY" p.19

GERMANY - CIA RENDITIONS KNOWN FOR YEARS p.20

ITALY - CIA Rendition Hits Spy Boss Pollari. p.21

WESTERN EUROPE - BRITAIN, HOLLAND & THE WEST p.22

RUSSIA - POLITKOVSKAYA'S LEGACY p.23

       - FSB Gets A Lithuanian Spy. p.24

EASTERN EUROPE - Russia, Iran, GRU & the US. p.25

LATIN AMERICA - Mexico, Argentina & Iran. p.26

SUDAN - Oil Adds To Trouble. p.27

ISRAEL - ALL THE WAY WITH THE CIA p.28

ISRAEL/PALESTINE - MORE & MORE PALESTINIAN CIVILIANS DIE p.29

IRAQ - "MILITARY LIGHT" WAS NOT AN OPTION p.30

     - INCREASED DEATH TOLL AS WAR CONTINUES p.31

IRAN - No Longer On The Front Burner. p.32

MIDDLE EAST - Syria, US & Nuclear Programs. p.33

PAKISTAN/AFGHANISTAN - NATO VERSUS TALIBAN p.34

ASIA - Australia, South Korea & Sri Lanka. p.35

 

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Intelligence, N. 487, 13 November 2006, p. 1

 

 

USA

 

GOP "FAMILY VALUES" GANG IN THE CESSPOOL

 

 

In any regime where the number two person -- in this case, US

Vice President Richard Cheney -- can say "Get Fucked" in public

to a leader of the opposition -- in this case, a senior

Democrat Senator -- and get away with it, one cannot expect

crucial elections to respect traditional Western democratic

political etiquette. And the 7 November 2006 mid-term

Congressional elections in the US lived up to expectations.

Here, the prize should probably go to Daggett County in Utah

where there are 943 residents and 947 registered voters and the

father of a Republican deputy running for sheriff has 14 adults

registered at his household. They don't do any better in

Corsica or Sicily.

 

But election "misdeeds" are only part of the heritage left

behind in Washington by the "Values" gang of the Republican

Party and their allies. "Classic" corruption, dishonesty, lying

and hypocrisy seem to have reached an all-time high with

perhaps the prize going to Rev. Ted Haggard, president of the

30-million-member National Association of Evangelicals --

against abortion, sex-sex marriages, gays, etc. -- for a

reported three-year affair with a male prostitute.

 

The shocking impunity with which such "misdeeds" have been

carried out probably began six years ago when the Republican-

dominated Supreme Court stopped a ballot recount and simply

decided that the US president should be George W. Bush. The

misdeeds and damage done to the United States by this one-party

system will take some time to undo and certain specialists,

including Americans, feel that the task is so great that new

Democrat Congress may not be able to succeed before "normal"

bipartisan politics return to Washington and stymie the

tremendous effort needed. In this case, talk of the "decline"

of the US is not just "hot air".

(...cut...)

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Intelligence, N. 487, 13 November 2006, p. 2

 

 

TIMELINE FROM 20 OCTOBER TO 10 NOVEMBER

 

 

During the past three weeks, the most prominent headlines were

the US Congressional electoral victory of the Democrat Party

and the associated resignation of Donald Rumsfeld as Secretary

of Defense. In our preceding issue, we mentioned that the most

prominent headlines then concerned the North Korean nuclear

bomb test, "but, in terms of news that may seriously change the

current situation, the prize should probably go to two US

'domestic' developments: the Rep. Mark Foley (R-FL) sex scandal

and the direct implication of the Republican political

leadership; and the publication of Robert Woodward's book,

'State of Denial', and its political implications that the Bush

White House was clearly warned of an impending Qaida attack and

did nothing" (the subject of that issue's "Front Page"

article).

 

Specialists have noted that the North Korean nuclear weapon

problem quickly disappeared from the front pages, replaced by

the "domestic" developments that we had mentioned. Indeed, the

past three weeks leading up to the 7 November vote were filled

with news of Republican Party corruption, scandals and

political misdeeds which seem to perfectly fit the definition

of the French term, "fin de regime", and are the subject of

this issue's "Front Page" article. There doesn't seem to be any

particular "source" for this vast collection of Republican

scandals, other than a general feeling of "fin de regime" which

has encouraged many of the persons associated with these

misdeeds to "throw in the rag" and "go public".

 

Nonetheless, this major change in US politics does not solve

the major problems abroad of the Bush regime: the Iraq war, the

Israel-Palestine conflict, the nuclear programs of North Korea

and Iran, and the war in Afghanistan. But these major problems

risk being given second priority to "domestic" problems such as

investigating Bush regime scandals and "undoing" Bush regime

legislation such as the Military Commissions Act authorizing

torture and secret detentions, and the Patriot Act used to

justify warrantless eavesdropping on the American public. The

single most delicate topic to watch in the near future is the

possibility of a Senate investigation of George W. Bush for war

crimes. Many specialists seem to think the Democrats will let

Bush "save his hide" if he is willing to "undo" the legislation

mentioned above. Otherwise, he risks following "Tricky Dick"

Nixon into the history books.

(...cut...)

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Intelligence, N. 487, 13 November 2006, p. 9

 

 

COMING EVENTS THROUGH 15 JANUARY 2007

 

 

14-16 November, Monterey, California, US Naval Postgraduate

School, AIAA Missile Sciences Conference,

aiaa.org/events/missilesciences.

 

15-17 November, San Antonio, Texas, Airborne Law Enforcement

Association, Central Region Safety Seminar, alea.org.

 

27-30 November, Nashville, Tennessee, Defense Manufacturing

Conference, dmc.utcdayton.com or meetings@utcdayton.com.

 

27-30 November, Orlando, Florida, 25th Army Science Conference,

asc2006.com.

 

4-7 December, Orlando, Florida, I/ITSEC 2006.

 

5-6 December, London, First Annual Counter-Terror World Summit

- Building a Secure World, with sessions on aviation and

airport security, maritime and supply chain security, event and

infrastructure security, and presentations by Frank Gardner

(BBC), Sir Richard Mottram (Permanent Secretary, Cabinet Office

on UK Counter Terror Policy), Lord Carlile of Berriew (QC),

Paul Wilkinson (University of St. Andrews), Jack Caravelli

(former White House National Security), Assistant Commissioner

Tarique Ghaffur (Metropolitan Police). Contact

counterterrorworld.com/conf or jmayer@ibeltd.com.

 

11-15 December, Miami Beach, Florida, 22nd Annual Computer

Security Applications Conference (ACSAC 2006), acsac.org.

 

15 December, deadline for proposals for the Workshop on

Surveillance and Inequality, on 16-18 March 2007 at Arizona

State University, in Tempe, Arizona. This workshop will bring

together a multi-disciplinary and international array of

scholars studying the social implications of contemporary

surveillance, workshop@publicsurveillance.com.

 

15-16 December, Tutzing (near Munich), Germany, Akamemie fuer

Politische Bildung, Den Western im Visier - Stasi-Spionage in

westlichen Demokratien (Targeting The West - Stasi Spying in

Western Democracies), apb-tutzing.de.

 

31 December, deadline for proposals for the annual meeting of

the International Congress of the History of Technology

(ICOHTEC) Social History of Military Technology section meeting

on 14-18 August 2007, in Copenhagen, Denmark, hackerb@si.edu.

 

15 January, deadline for contributors to "American Espionage -

A Historical Encyclopedia". The author is seeking contributors

to write entries for a historical encyclopedia of American

espionage and intelligence to be published by ABC-CLIO. Entries

range in length from 300-2000 words. Those contributing more

than 5,000 words will received a copy of the completed work.

Contact: guerrisw@jmu.edu.

 

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Intelligence, N. 487, 13 November 2006, p. 10

 

 

USA

 

ANTI-BUSH STAMPEDE & ITS FALLOUT

 

 

With the scandals, corruption and lies described above in our

"Front Page" article (besides the problems of the Iraq war),

little wonder that there was a "stampede" away from George W.

Bush and his disastrous regime as the 7 November mid-term

elections approached. Indeed, the US dropped nine places in one

year in the international press freedom index and even the 9/11

widows no longer believed in Bush and demanded to see the

Rice/Tenet documents that reportedly "connected the dots"

several months before the 11 September 2001 attacks. But there

was some -- unnoticed -- good news: on 26 October, ExxonMobil

Corporation reported that it earned $10.49 billion in the third

quarter, the second largest quarterly profit ever posted by a

publicly traded American company. The largest on record was

also reported by ExxonMobil -- $10.71 billion in the fourth

quarter of 2005 (1026 NYT, Exxon Reports $10.49 Billion Profit

in Quarter, John Holusha and Heather Timmons).

 

Perhaps that's why Bush, despite the stampede, named Lee

Raymond, the retired chief of ExxonMobil, to head a key study

to help America chart a cleaner course for US energy needs.

Raymond currently chairs the National Petroleum Council (NPC),

one of the most powerful lobbies in Washington (1102

BushGreenwatch, Bush Names Exxon Chief to Chart America's

Energy Future). And, of course, Donald Rumsfeld is doing a

wonderful job at the Pentagon, even with a lost war in Iraq

(1030 Progress Report, Boehner Praised Rumsfeld as "The Best

Thing That's Happened to the Pentagon in 25 Years"): "Yesterday

on ABC's 'This Week,' host George Stephanopoulos asked House

Majority Leader John Boehner (R-OH) if he thought Rumsfeld

should go. 'Rumsfeld is the best thing that's happened to the

Pentagon in 25 years,' Boehner replied."

(...cut...)

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Intelligence, N. 487, 13 November 2006, p. 17

 

 

GREAT BRITAIN

 

MI6 ORIGINALLY OPPOSED IRAQ INVASION

 

 

Twenty-four hours after the 11 September 2001 attacks in New

York and in Washington, a senior MI6 delegation travelled to

CIA headquarters at Langley, Virginia, for a meeting with CIA

director George Tenet, to warn their US colleagues to

"concentrate on Afghanistan" and not be tempted to launch

retaliatory attacks on Iraq which the British government would

have difficulty supporting. The claim is made in a recently-

published book by Tyler Drumheller and Elaine Monaghan, "On The

Brink" (Carroll & Graff, New York, October 2006).

(...cut...)

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Intelligence, N. 487, 13 November 2006, p. 28

 

 

ISRAEL

 

ALL THE WAY WITH THE CIA

 

 

In a 30 October statement, the Israel Airport Authority (IAA)

confirmed that at least two CIA planes, used to transport

alleged Islamic jihadists to detention and interrogation

centres in Europe and the Middle East, used facilities at Ben-

Gurion International Airport in Tel Aviv between May 2003 and

May 2004.

 

Details of the "extraordinary rendition" flights, based on

information from a EU parliamentary committee and European

aviation authorities, were disclosed by the British-based civil

liberties publication, "Statewatch", which claims that at least

four flights landed at Tel Aviv over the 12-month period.

(...cut...)

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