Subscriptions for 2011 are 180 euros for indidivuals and 380 euros for organizations. Three articles, Agenda and Table of Contents of issue 572 below.
INTELLIGENCE ISSN 1245-2122
N. 572, 7 February 2011
Every Two to Three Weeks
Next issue, 21 February 2011
Publishing since 1980
Yahoo Group: Intelligence_ADI
tel 33 (0)1 40 51 85 19;
ADI, 16 rue des Ecoles, 75005 Paris, France
European Correspondent: Michael Quilligan;
tel 00.31.(0)38.4204869, firstname.lastname@example.org
Copyright ADI 2011, reproduction in any form forbidden without explicit authorization from the ADI. A one year subscription (19 issues with article index) is 380 euros. Reduced rates for personal subscriptions (180 euros). Payment by credit cardpossible.
TABLE OF CONTENTS, N. 572, 7 February 2011
MAGHREB - IMMOLATION HAS STARTED A BLAZE p.1
TECHNOLOGY AND TECHINQUES
TIMELINE FROM 15 JANUARY TO 4 FEBRUARY p.2
CYBER SECURITY, CYBER THREATS & CYBER WAR p.3
WIKILEAKS - BANK OF AMERICA, STATE DEPT. & FBI p.4
ECONOMICS, NATIONAL SECURITY & FOOD PRICES p.5
THE "GLOBAL GO-TO THINK-TANKS 2010" LIST p.6
ENVIRONMENT – Brazil, Australia & Bad Weather. p.7
USA - JEFFREY ALEXANDER STERLING p.8
SURINAME - DESI BOUTERSE p.9
EGYPT - OMAR SULEIMAN p.10
CALLS & COMING EVENTS THROUGH 20 MARCH p.11
INTELLIGENCE AROUND THE WORLD
USA - GOP “WORRIES” & OBAMA POPULARITY p.12
- RADICAL RIGHT & KOCH BROTHERS p.13
- ANOTHER BAD REPORT CARD FOR THE FBI p.14
– CIA'S POSADA CARRILES & CLARRIDGE. p.15
– DoD, Women, Prayers & Budget.p.16
– Torture, Guantanamo, Trial & Spain. p.17
GREAT BRITAIN - IRAQ WAR INQUIRY RESUMES p.18
- NATIONAL PUBLIC ORDER INTELLIGENCE UNIT p.19
NORTHERN IRELAND - MI6 WARNS OF MI5 "FALSE FLAG" OPERATIONS p.20
IRELAND - RUSSIAN DIPLOMAT EXPELLED p.21
WESTERN EUROPE - GREAT BRITAIN & SEX IN ITALY & VATICAN p.22
EASTERN EUROPE - RUSSIA, DOMODEDOVO BOBMING & DIVERS p.23
LATIN AMERICA - CUBA, HAITI, COLOMBIA & MEXICO p.24
SOUTH AFRICA - INTELLIGENCE CHIEF "CULTIVATED" BY USA p.25
AFRICA - COTE D'IVOIRE, SOUTH SUDAN & DIVERS p.26
ISRAEL - STUXNET TESTED AT DIMONA p.27
PALESTINE - COMING EUROPEAN RECOGNITION p.28
ISRAEL/PALESTINE - AID FLOTILLA, LANDGRAB & POLITICS p.29
IRAQ - SECTARIAN BOMBINGS KILL MANY p.30
IRAN - TALKS COLLAPSE & MORE REPRESSION p.31
MIDDLE EAST - LEBANON, TURKEY & EGYPT p.32
AFGHANISTAN/PAKISTAN - "COL. IMAM" GONE AS WEST PROGRESSES p.33
INDIA - THE PRICE OF POVERTY p.34
ASIA - AUSTRALIA, CHINA, TAIWAN & KOREAS p.35
Intelligence, N. 572, 7 February 2011, p. 1
IMMOLATION HAS STARTED A BLAZE
The two dominant security and intelligence topics of the past three weeks have been the events first in Tunisia and then in Egypt. In strict geographical and historical terms, both are part of northern Africa, but usually the Arab term “Maghreb” or “Couchant” (setting sun), as opposed to “Mashreq” or “Levant” (rising sun), doesn't include Egypt. However, widespread public opposition to entrenched Muslim oligarchies has erupted in all countries of northern Africa and shows signs of spreading to other Muslim countries of the Levant. The surprising originality of this opposition is that it is not based on principally Islamic demands but rather on demands more typical of modern and particularly Western developed nations: the end of corruption, the end of oligarchy privileges, the establishment of true political liberties and freedom of expression.
The fact that the current wave of opposition to Muslim oligarchies began with a self-immolation, and not a violent jihadist act, is of major significance and continues to have tremendous influence on the educated Maghreb public which is opposed to jihadist “solutions”. The initial spark that led to the self-immolation and the current Maghreb blaze was the 17 December confrontation in Sidi Bouzid, Tunisia, between educated street vendor Mohamed Bouazizi and Faida Hamdy, an aggressive and domineering 45-year-old single woman, municipal inspector, daughter of a Sidi Bouzid police officer, and therefore a member of the privileged oligarchy that can give orders, demand kickbacks and impose arbitrary decisions. Ms. Hamdy tried to confiscate Mr. Bouazizi's fruit, and then slapped him in the face for trying to yank back his apples. Mr. Bouaziz, embarrassed and angry, wrestled with Ms. Hamdy and was beaten by two of her colleagues, who also took his electronic scale. He walked a few blocks to a municipal building, demanded his property, and was beaten again. Then he walked to the governor's office, demanded an audience and was refused. Sometime around noon, in the two-lane street in front of the governor's high gate, Mr. Bouaziz drenched himself in paint thinner then set himself on fire. By the time he died on 4 January, protests that started and spread to cities throughout Tunisia. Everyone in Sidi Bouzid has a story about bribes one must pay to get a loan, to start a business, to land a job, or to just sell fruit in the streets (0124 IHT/NYT, An insult that led to revolution - Fruit vendor becomes martyred hero in protests in Tunisia, and beyond). Such stories have been part of life throughout the Maghreb and quickly found resonance in all of Tunisia, and as the “New York Times” implied, this influence may well go “beyond”, and not just to Egypt.
Below, you will first find the chronologically ordered press reports concerning Tunisia. In the following section are similar reports concerning Egypt. In the final “Fallout for Maghreb, Mashrea & the World” section are reports concerning the consequences “beyond” of what is taking place in Tunisia and Egypt.
Intelligence, N. 572, 7 February 2011, p. 11
CALLS & COMING EVENTS THROUGH 20 MARCH
18-19 February, Calgary, Canada, the Thirteenth Strategic Studies Student Consortium (S3C), "Strategy, Security and Defence: Expanding the Discourse", will take place, organized by the Centre for Military and Strategic Studies at the University of Calgary, S3C2011@gmail.com or cmss.ucalgary.ca/.
20-24 February, Abu Dhabi, UAE, International Defense Exhibition and Conference, www.idexuae.ae.
28 February, deadline for submissions for chapters for "Nano-Cyberwarfare and Counterterrorism: Threat, Attack, Resistance, and
Survival Technology Issues", contact Steven John Thompson, Towson University, Linthicum Hall 218F, Towson MD 21252 USA, email@example.com or tinyurl.com/nanocyberwar.
3-5 March, London, Institute of Advanced Legal Studies London, Second Biennial War Crimes Conference, "Justice? – Whose Justice?", firstname.lastname@example.org or www.perc.plymouth.ac.uk/solon/.
15 March, submissions are due for volumes I and II of "Counterterrorism: From the Cold War to the War on Terror" to be published by ABC-CLIO in 2011. Volume I consists of six chapters (sections). Section 1 is devoted largely to definitional issues and serves as a foundation for further discussion in subsequent sections on the 21st century terrorist threat. Section 2 addresses the evolution and effectiveness of select nation-state counterterrorism policy. Sections 3 and 4 address key issues which impact counter-terrorism strategy and the post-9/11 global counter-terrorism campaign respectively. Regional counter-terrorism efforts and an agenda for future research are discussed in sections 5 and 6. Volume 2 provides a section containing articles on some of the world’s elite counter-terrorism forces and a chronology of major global counter-terrorism operations. Volume 2 also includes a compilation of national and international treaties, laws, conventions, agreements, and protocols which have been implemented in an attempt to counter this ongoing threat to public safety and international security. Volume 2 concludes with a glossary containing organizational and individual profiles and a comprehensive bibliography. If you are interested in contributing, the editors can email you a list of available articles and a full description of the project. Contact email@example.com.
20 March, deadline for abstract submission for the International Workshop on Coping with Crises in Complex Socio-Economic Systems on 20-25 June, in Zurich, Switzerland, at ETH Zurich, see ifb.ethz.ch/comphys/conferences/ccss-workshop2011/ or contact firstname.lastname@example.org.
Intelligence, N. 572, 7 February 2011, p. 20
MI6 WARNS OF MI5 "FALSE FLAG" OPERATIONS
Several warnings over the past year by the MI5 director, Jonathan Evans, (among others) of the "increasing threat" of Irish republican dissident violence in Northern Ireland and on the British mainland has led to a staff increase at MI5's Irish HQ, at Loughside, Holywood, County Down, and the diversion, according to the "Sunday Times" of £20 million from the "al-Qaida budget" to the struggle against the dissidents. Nonetheless, several experienced veterans, who have chronicled the covert activities of MI5 during the "Troubles" and the subsequent, long-drawn out peace process, believe that many of the "dissident incidents", on both sides of the border, were actually MI5 "false flag" operations carried out "to improve MI5 funding and importance as the primary intelligence collation agency in the UK". To complicate matters even further, it appears that much of the information to support the false flag theory comes from MI5's rival service, MI6.
Intelligence, N. 572, 7 February 2011, p. 33
"COL. IMAM" GONE AS WEST PROGRESSES
The story that the Taliban in Afghanistan, and also in Pakistan, were the "creation" of Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) saw itself spread over front pages recently with the death of "Colonel Imam" in the hands of younger jihadists in the tribal badlands of Pakistan. According to the London "Guardian" (0123 GUA, Pakistan's Godfather of the Taliban dies - Former Pakistani intelligence agent Sultan Amir Tarar dies in captivity 10 months after being kidnapped by militants): "A retired Pakistani spy known as 'the godfather of the Taliban' has died in captivity in Pakistan's north-western tribal belt, 10 months after he was kidnapped with a British journalist working for Channel 4. Pakistani news channels reported that Sultan Amir Tarar, a legendary figure in the Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) spy agency, had been killed by militants in Waziristan. The Taliban issued a statement saying he had died of a heart attack. An army spokesman could not confirm the reports. But a senior officer said that 'all indicators are that this unfortunate incident took place'." The Indian press and other international media also considered the event important in the ongoing AfPak war:
IF YOU DO NOT WANT TO RECEIVE FUTURE FREE SUMMARY COPIES OF "INTELLIGENCE", EMAIL US AT INTELLIGENCE-ADI@WANADOO.FR